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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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EURO control has a Christmas Eve Eve miracle
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The follow up wave has enough cold to pull something off, but I take your larger point.
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as I try to learn during a relatively quiet period - for our area, we'd want this "vort max(?)" closer to the NC/VA border, correct? and ideally tilted negatively instead of positively?
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Run-over-run change... pretty clearly a step toward a better vort pass. Does that lead to any real outcome? Someone smarter can decide
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GFS is more EURO-like through hr93. Fairly big shift, though worth noting of course the EURO didn't give us a fantastic outcome anyway
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Important tradeoff that will guarantee a better GFS run. Soul for a soul
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Biggest GFS run of the season coming up... until the next one.
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looks slightly improved from 06z to me. We'll see what the digital snow output looks like. Think the tilt is off though.
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I'll give PBP for the longshot storms nobody cares about if nobody else will try. Stormtracker/Yoda have the real storms as far as I'm concerned.
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Precip (rain/snow light) forming in the region at 114. MSLP off southern OBX. Good upslope run at least thus far. Not sure it cranks in time. Light snow west of 95 by 120. Still positively tilted. Don't think we get the jackpot this run.
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I think I like what it's doing at 102. CMC-ish but better with the vort positioning, is my trying-to-get-better-at-reading-maps read.
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GEFS looks like a tick in the right direction with the vort pass, FWIW. Doesn't result in much digital snow, but trackable
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#dusted at the surface. Might get going further north. Still... exciting!
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zoomed in for the weenies (me).
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As a handful of others have pointed out, a handful of ens members across CMC/GFS/EURO have shown a wacky solution like that. Small dots of 8". Something wacky is gonna happen after the big storm rolls through for someone.
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some quirky looks in there - worth keeping an eye on still.
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Well at least right now we aren't fretting the exact path of the MSLP. Looks to be more inland than would be good for a lot of the burbs. Agree with others generally that I still don't think we have any clue what will happen after the big storm rolls through. Probably nothing, though you never know!
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Apple Weather shows snow next Tuesday… what does it know?
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Well it's "official" -- pending (reasonable in this case) NIMBYs in Arlington/Alexandria not really wanting an arena and concert venue 3 blocks from their homes off Route 1. Sounds like the Mystics move to Cap 1 and they try to keep it a concert venue... better than nothing.
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Getting weather updates on LinkedIn is pretty sick
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Blows for that area. Walk through it every day for work. Doesn’t feel unsafe right now IMO, but it is sad to see a lot of closed businesses and it’s just generally kinda dead. Can’t imagine it without the presence of the arena. Assume it’ll stay a concert venue or something after, but jeez.
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Bad news… sounds like winter is over again.
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12/10-11 Disco / Obs - Rain/Snow/Wind Event
NorthArlington101 replied to nj2va's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, doing my drive back this morning I was a little surprised too. Not shocked that they could’ve at some point measured 0.1”, but pleasantly surprised someone was on it. By the time I passed under Key Bridge around 7:45 there was no sign anything had happened. -
Mid-Atlantic Snow Totals Thread - Winter 2023-2024
NorthArlington101 replied to mattie g's topic in Mid Atlantic
Updated totals in bio. Barely a sign of anything at my DC address, which is unsurprising. Based on radar and other obs from DC, find it highly unlikely a tenth wouldn’t have been measurable.