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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    24hr storm
  2. NorthArlington101
    It's a great run
  3. NorthArlington101
    light snow at 144hr on the GFS
  4. NorthArlington101
  5. NorthArlington101
    Using Tomer's (polarwx.com) dominant P-Type GEFS analysis... a much better 18z run. 12z 18z
  6. NorthArlington101
  7. NorthArlington101
    I-81 crushed
  8. NorthArlington101
    GFS looks to be making baby steps back in the right direction. At least would be a better thump if CAD trends our way as it does as things get closer
  9. NorthArlington101
    Happy Birthday!!
  10. NorthArlington101
    This seems pretty fair at this juncture. Need to remember to check out Tomer Berg’s site more often — he’s got some good tools.
  11. NorthArlington101
    EPS runs the mean MSLP over the VA/KY border this ended up being slightly dishonest - it transfers… but run is worse overall. Obv not out of it entirely
  12. NorthArlington101
    12z NAVGEM looks like a pristine track
  13. NorthArlington101
    Did the vort over SD/NE hurt us? It didn’t exist on the GFS. Saw the same things you did and assumed it would be a better run but it wasn’t
  14. NorthArlington101
    It looks fairly different on h5 compared to the GFS to my eyes… still things to figure out. Thats probably the optimistic take. Also the fact that we’ve got 6-7 days to go.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Sorry folks, I lied
  16. NorthArlington101
    I believe the EURO looks better than the GFS through hr144
  17. NorthArlington101
    I actually like you and am always curious about what you have to say. But that was basically a 30% chance of anything under the sun. 1” is a nuisance - 5” is a WSW. And that ignores the other probs too
  18. NorthArlington101
  19. NorthArlington101
    Just for the record, not necessarily to be a downer, but GEFS has been on a downhill slide since 00z. 3 runs of the GFS alone does not a concrete trend make, but it’s not great stuff.
  20. NorthArlington101
    I hope nobody actually thinks it’s over. But this is PTSD from the past couple of years. We’ve actually had trackable storms at Days 5-7 in the Mid-Atlantic the past few years, as I’m sure you recall. They just all ended up cutting or too amped
  21. NorthArlington101
    It was good… probably even really good. still a shift in the “wrong” direction though.
  22. NorthArlington101
    We’ve moved back to “It’s Over”
  23. NorthArlington101
    It’s out to 147 on WB. Regardless, it must be showing such a historic blizzard that it’s double checking its work.
  24. NorthArlington101
    What keeps me sane — knowing that I’ve got a brother in Charlottesville and girlfriends family in Staunton that would hypothetically take me in [emoji6] Long ways to go
  25. NorthArlington101
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