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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Those pools always triggered my asthma. Thankfully, it was relatively minor. Can’t imagine actually having a real lung problem.
  2. NorthArlington101
    https://x.com/seckhardt/status/1742514474207043737?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg At least it’s not only us that gets tricked
  3. NorthArlington101
    RGEM has a well-known highly incorrect bias unfortunately. But even a broke clock is twice a day, or whatever
  4. NorthArlington101
    But does it always snow in Louisiana?
  5. NorthArlington101
    tell that to the RGEM /s wait... are you telling me maybe we shouldn't trust it?
  6. NorthArlington101
    Really? I'm not sure it got that warm in Downtown D.C. today
  7. NorthArlington101
    Best news I've heard today. Barely nudges out Little Rock seeing snow.
  8. NorthArlington101
    a good southeast shift on the RGEM and nobody bothered to post it? smh
  9. NorthArlington101
    3 blocks away from my family house… maybe I’ll have to chase at the neighbors
  10. NorthArlington101
    We're about 2 days away from being teased for 2 days before it slips away and gives Winchester 2" of snow and Boston 2' of snow
  11. NorthArlington101
    pretty big shift from 06z -> 12z. Will be nice to see snow in the subforum somewhere.
  12. NorthArlington101
    I feel like Arkansas battling the rain/snow line has little correlation to what’s causing us to flip to sleet/rain tomorrow but I guess I’ll take any optimism. It is nice to see people locally be colder than forecast. Maybe a little chillier than expected in and around the Beltway. Haven’t breached 40 yet.
  13. NorthArlington101
    I didn't realize 3-6 inches was WSW criteria. I guess as long as it could exceed 5"+?
  14. NorthArlington101
    RRFS is our best bet... and that may be the first time it's been mentioned on this forum in relation to an event. I believe it's essentially the updated HRRR... so worse things to have on your side. It's at least a #sleetbomb as opposed to rain.
  15. NorthArlington101
    I assume any hope of this basically evaporated last night
  16. NorthArlington101
    He asked me to read to the end? With my limited attention span? Big ask
  17. NorthArlington101
    I think this is basically Tomer promising a DC/VA snowstorm? https://x.com/burgwx/status/1743122848648958012?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
  18. NorthArlington101
    They good at clearing the roads in Winchester? If consensus shifts toward 6”+, I might head out that way
  19. NorthArlington101
    Toggling it back and forth — that is a pretty significant bulge downward. Thanks for pointing that out
  20. NorthArlington101
    Agreed - it’s hovering above freezing. I think once the 850s are shot, it’s plain rain. 3k does the @psuhoffman thing though around 5/6pm and almost pulls the RA/SN into the Belway again. 3k is the best run I’ve seen in the last day-ish that doesn’t involve fleeing westward to see flakes
  21. NorthArlington101
    at the 850 level. This kind of stuff basically kills the thump in the cities. does it ever go the opposite way?
  22. NorthArlington101
    18z RGEM ticked better for the cities... better for everyone, really. Still goes nutso for our favored spots.
  23. NorthArlington101
    I think this matters for all of us - best chance the cities have to get on the board is a thump for as long as we can hold onto a favorable thermal profile. Hot and heavy.
  24. NorthArlington101
    the WxBell kuchera, fwiw. Little worse than 12z - just less of a thump.
  25. NorthArlington101
    just need a couple degrees at 850 to make the 3k NAM run more fun for everyone... it must at least theoretically be possible.
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