Jump to content

NorthArlington101

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,947

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    a good southeast shift on the RGEM and nobody bothered to post it? smh
  2. NorthArlington101
    3 blocks away from my family house… maybe I’ll have to chase at the neighbors
  3. NorthArlington101
    We're about 2 days away from being teased for 2 days before it slips away and gives Winchester 2" of snow and Boston 2' of snow
  4. NorthArlington101
    pretty big shift from 06z -> 12z. Will be nice to see snow in the subforum somewhere.
  5. NorthArlington101
    I feel like Arkansas battling the rain/snow line has little correlation to what’s causing us to flip to sleet/rain tomorrow but I guess I’ll take any optimism. It is nice to see people locally be colder than forecast. Maybe a little chillier than expected in and around the Beltway. Haven’t breached 40 yet.
  6. NorthArlington101
    I didn't realize 3-6 inches was WSW criteria. I guess as long as it could exceed 5"+?
  7. NorthArlington101
    RRFS is our best bet... and that may be the first time it's been mentioned on this forum in relation to an event. I believe it's essentially the updated HRRR... so worse things to have on your side. It's at least a #sleetbomb as opposed to rain.
  8. NorthArlington101
    I assume any hope of this basically evaporated last night
  9. NorthArlington101
    He asked me to read to the end? With my limited attention span? Big ask
  10. NorthArlington101
    I think this is basically Tomer promising a DC/VA snowstorm? https://x.com/burgwx/status/1743122848648958012?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
  11. NorthArlington101
    They good at clearing the roads in Winchester? If consensus shifts toward 6”+, I might head out that way
  12. NorthArlington101
    Toggling it back and forth — that is a pretty significant bulge downward. Thanks for pointing that out
  13. NorthArlington101
    Agreed - it’s hovering above freezing. I think once the 850s are shot, it’s plain rain. 3k does the @psuhoffman thing though around 5/6pm and almost pulls the RA/SN into the Belway again. 3k is the best run I’ve seen in the last day-ish that doesn’t involve fleeing westward to see flakes
  14. NorthArlington101
    at the 850 level. This kind of stuff basically kills the thump in the cities. does it ever go the opposite way?
  15. NorthArlington101
    18z RGEM ticked better for the cities... better for everyone, really. Still goes nutso for our favored spots.
  16. NorthArlington101
    I think this matters for all of us - best chance the cities have to get on the board is a thump for as long as we can hold onto a favorable thermal profile. Hot and heavy.
  17. NorthArlington101
    the WxBell kuchera, fwiw. Little worse than 12z - just less of a thump.
  18. NorthArlington101
    just need a couple degrees at 850 to make the 3k NAM run more fun for everyone... it must at least theoretically be possible.
  19. NorthArlington101
    temps marginal and precip isn't super light... color me a bit skeptical as someone who lived in cville for 4 years and saw sig ice once despite it being modeled probably 3-4x a year. Now on the Blue Ridge itself... yeah. This seems like the kind of storm that closes the Parkway for 3 weeks... especially when you factor in a follow up next tues
  20. NorthArlington101
    NE MD pummeled
  21. NorthArlington101
    hmmm... sure it'll be refined but I'd consider a light chase if 5"+ ends up being the forecast. just in case... you know... it never snows again.
  22. NorthArlington101
  23. NorthArlington101
  24. NorthArlington101
  25. NorthArlington101
    yeah 3k is cautiously optimistic for a few hours of snow. And frankly, it's on the razor's edge for the hours afterwards. rates would do a lot -- plus a rare positive trend. We've still got ~2 days to cut temps by 1-3 degrees.
×
×
  • Create New...