Jump to content

NorthArlington101

Members
  • Posts

    10,993
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. The NAM at this range is probably about as good as the Mark Model https://x.com/meteomark/status/1745163993893765438?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
  2. If it’s still going at 162 it might actually be an uncomplicated 3-5”
  3. caveats that a snow mean isn't everything, etc etc, but EPS has been going the wrong way for the 16th/17th. Still a ways to go. lot of suppressed stuff
  4. pull it for DCA. It won’t look as good but it’ll still be alright. EPS mean was the best all year at 12z. One could look on the bright side or one could say it’s all downhill
  5. Staring at the big turf field out my window and wondering if it might go underwater. Looks ~20% there
  6. It's also not a "false flag" in terms of temps. 850s look similar - little worse.
  7. to illustrate this further... this is a NUTS median for 8 days out. This might be the highest it's been on the EPS period this year. and it was a big jump up from 00z
  8. Not a lot of suppressed options. I'd say genuine camp of "wins" vs. cutters.
  9. Also, I know there are more to the ENS than the snow maps, but the EPS mean is honking fairly hard for this range. Doesn't show up well on the median, but that's not shocking at range.
  10. I assumed the 6z GFS sucked based off this for some reason... 24hr+ snowstorm with cold temps? That's awesome. Biggest 12z suite of our lives.
  11. I’m concerned. Part of the reason I like VA/DC is the threat of cool but not mega dangerous weather all four seasons. Would suck to lose winter Time to lower your snowfall forecast?
  12. I think Ohio deserves 3 blizzards in a week so I’m good with this solution
  13. it’s setting up a more favorable track for the next storm /s
×
×
  • Create New...