probably not - but nice to know that outcome still exists in somewhere in the supercomputer's brain.
FWIW, here is the snow depth map. I'd bite on 2-5" forum-wide, even in D.C. Too bad that has no bearing on the outcome
18z GFS is a little better than the 12z when it comes to raw snow output, at least, looking at the early maps I can get.
More/heavier precip doing some cooling work I think. Go boom or go bust
it was on the globals... it was on the ens... we flagged this period around Christmas... Possibly losing this one blows and idrc what the people who pretend to come on this forum with zero emotions til the day of think. I don't believe them, quite frankly
It's humbling to know we can (potentially) still lose it all in the MR. In theory one would like to think that means we could stumble into a great storm (Jan 2022?) in the mid-range too. Also nice to know that the models def don't have it all figured out... that's the eventual death of this hobby.