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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. 2.4 at DCA and 10.9 at BWI would be a disaster.
  2. But soundings and QPF are harder to understand /s If you are in I'm in. We tend to perform similarly. I already know I'm not gonna be in D.C. for this one - question is if I hang in A-Town or if it's worth it to flee to HBurg or Staunton.
  3. WxBell maps are friendlier so I'm gonna assume they've made the right call. I'll post when it wraps.
  4. Thanks! Not concerned - just saying. We'll talk about it for pages when it's good, though.
  5. Nasty gradient... 10" in NW Arlington, 3" in SE. It's also still ripping at this point in DC.
  6. and FWIW - just because I think it's interesting to track how the newer-tech (not necessarily better, at all) models do - the SPIRE has held a 6-8"+ storm (kinda like the 00z GFS/CMC) sicne 00z yesterday. It only runs 2x a day.
  7. if we're being technical that was it's high-res counterpart the HRDPS - but yeah, RGEM isn't a known winner either. I know we've already shared the EPS mean -- below is the median. Wanted to make sure there weren't crazy outliers propping up the mean. Still looks solid enough.
  8. Yeah it looks like 12z unfortunately. The slightest bit better in the cities. Best improvement is for NE MD.
  9. at 88 seems extraordinarily unlikely this would cut. Track should be pretty sweet
  10. GEFS - less heavy for the western folks, but massive cushion.
  11. I’ve done that twice now this week - apologies for the haste. And excitement
  12. on a scale of 1-10 how worried are we about suppression?
  13. for you! Need a bit more in the metro. But very close to a great run for all… just faster now so lower ceiling.
  14. 00z ICON is a solid tick SE with the heavier stuff.
  15. Snow mean wise it’s actually a decrease, but my guess is that’s more just the max potential slipping away. Curious to see what the median is.
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