NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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I think when it’s showing something in the range of reasonable guidance you can look at it. RGEM and it’d HRDPS cousin do have a documented cold/wet (overdoing banding) bias, though.
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You can call it a trend at this point, but works for lots of folks here.
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WxBell's p-type guesser says DCA has flipped by 75 - but worth digging into the soundings.
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Not sure the EPS is any more dispersive from its parent than the GEFS, especially at this range.
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Never really thought this one was gonna result in accumulations, would just like my snow shower to be a snow shower and not a rain shower. Tough ask in Downtown DC
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The January storms shifted south the whole way; they were Philly storms only 48-72 hours before Dec. 2018 actually shifted notably north in even the last 12-24 hours, which is typical and why I wouldn’t mind this south shift personally
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Snow showers still should come through the metros from 4-6… think this is just a now cast situation that doesn’t benefit from much model watching
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Never would’ve bet for a second when I woke up that this shifted south. Much better than a 150mi north shift, unless like last year south is the trend that never stops stopping
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Good to hear from you again, even if it’s not amazing news! Always appreciate your constitutions
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UKIE is much faster than the other guidance tonight, which I guess helps that happen. Not gonna bother puzzling out exactly why that happened since it won’t be the outcome
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Too tired to grab the maps, but GEFS with a mild shift north. Makes sense that it follows the OP.
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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?
NorthArlington101 replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’m not saying we shouldn’t be looking but I love how we toss the GFS at 80 hours yet are glued to it for a storm at 200hrs -
It’s a beaut. Not a threat of mixing in sight
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CMC is slower but still looks like a good thump incoming at 7am Monday. Deeper cad - looks better
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@brooklynwx99 you don’t need to do this to us!
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99% over here - trying to cut out tomorrow’s “event”… this timeframe cuts a little snow off the southern end
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I’m starting to think we don’t want this. Seems to result in a slower storm and a stauncher warm nose. I could also very well be connecting the dots on something that isn’t a connect the dots puzzle. makes it more miller B coastal transfer screwjob
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can see it both ways. Shows a sharp southern cutoff. Also shows an absolutely juiced WAA thump. Choose your own adventure
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I very rarely regret not getting my met degree, but it would be nice to just pop in this forum and lay down the hammer.
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84hr NAM has a wrong bias
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Weren't you saying my snow squalls tomorrow were the best storm we'd see all week not 3 hours ago?
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We’re the worst here lol. 98% of people would beg to go to Aruba during a blizzard
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Sweet 18z EURO run. Rakeage between midnight-6am… will reward the sleep deprived.
