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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. I've looked at that exact 389k listing on Zillow before. Tempting...
  2. RGEM holds for I-81 and other favored spots but the RA/SN line jumped NW
  3. me to the I-81 crew after seeing the 18z NAM
  4. it's pathetic... it's almost beautiful. I-95 jackpot though and "colder"
  5. 18z NAM actually is better lol. Looks a bit colder - might be picking up on at least some light WAA snows as the system moves in too. Falls apart really fast. Mountains will hate it. But likely better for DC. "South and very weak" scenario.
  6. It’s always the storm after the storm… after the storm. I’m more interested in MLK Day. Tuesday has no shot in the metro. Hope I’m wrong but don’t see it going well. Bet @clskinsfan will be fretting and end up with 5” anyway tho
  7. i think it's one of those things where it's better now than it used to be - but there are better sampling capabilities on land for sure. If that kind of thing didn't matter for forecasting still you wouldn't have RAOB balloon launches or anything, I'd imagine
  8. also, fwiw, the 10th percentile on the EPS. you'd like to think this is the (10:1) floor w/ where things stand... but you never know.
  9. worse on the fringes (metros). Better for favored zones and those who might get tempted to chase out that way
  10. pretty cheap hotels... might be worth dipping into my vacation slush fund. I'd been hoping that if D.C. was a fail, I could at least go west and take advantage of some free housing (family) along the I-81 corridor. But not sure it's worth the chase. May be a Friday call
  11. Might be able to drive in and drive out in the same day... hotel room not even needed
  12. 850s bad for almost everyone, surface toasty unless you are in the mountains or along I-95. Gets worse and worse the more you look at it.
  13. Not even worth chasing - lame outcome. to echo PSU
  14. flips back to snow at the end but not nearly as good as other models - tough sledding in D.C (literally)
  15. actually it's worse - you are raining by 4:00pm it's kind of a disaster
  16. looks very similar from a RA/SN line perspective by hr78. Gotta be west of the beltway
  17. 850s are sooooo close, but surface temps are shot. That said, UKIE thermals are lol. Cville is placed into an isolated freezer with the 6" of snow it gets this run
  18. Been some hints of an MLK storm. Minus the next Tuesday deal (trip to the mountains?) that period is what interests me most
  19. I take back what I said about the GEFS. Mean initially looked better, but checking out the median reveals an outlier or two is tossing things up. Overall - GEFS throws out a weaker system. Looking at the ens is nearing (if not hit) it's expiration date anyway, but the >1" probs aren't exactly thrilling
  20. CMC would be fantastic for the favored zones and would accumulate even where it's warm on the surface if it's dumping but it's a bad run for I-95 imo. Temps at height of the storm
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