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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Just for the record, not necessarily to be a downer, but GEFS has been on a downhill slide since 00z. 3 runs of the GFS alone does not a concrete trend make, but it’s not great stuff.
  2. I hope nobody actually thinks it’s over. But this is PTSD from the past couple of years. We’ve actually had trackable storms at Days 5-7 in the Mid-Atlantic the past few years, as I’m sure you recall. They just all ended up cutting or too amped
  3. It was good… probably even really good. still a shift in the “wrong” direction though.
  4. It’s out to 147 on WB. Regardless, it must be showing such a historic blizzard that it’s double checking its work.
  5. What keeps me sane — knowing that I’ve got a brother in Charlottesville and girlfriends family in Staunton that would hypothetically take me in [emoji6] Long ways to go
  6. Instead of an OBX low, it’s over central NC. Bummer but expected variance this far out
  7. meh I sent it at 18z before the GFS exploded then. I’ll take half credit
  8. If we get a storm on 1/4 I'll venmo you $5
  9. tempted to post the JAWS photo looking at hr174 but I don't want to risk my already limited credibility
  10. EPS doesn’t look suppressed. It does look very marginal temp wise. Dare I say too warm
  11. @psuhoffman A thread for you: https://x.com/atlanticwx/status/1741158286026539042?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
  12. I know we had this discussion yesterday about forum organization, but we could probably save some unpleasant conversations if we made a thread that covered discussion(s) for the 4th and 7th
  13. On the other hand, the Canadian is a total whiff. Vort seems to get shredded as an LP forms over the plains. GFS did that too for the first time this run, but the coastal seemed to win out. Would be curious what smart people make of it.
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