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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. partially? I've been looking to see if you can run Google's GraphCast model with snow accums but I can't find it. Have found a site that shows rough MSLP + precip
  2. weekend rule ✅ looks decently cold ✅ storm starts off looking sort of suppressed ✅ we're ticking off the boxes. This is it
  3. GEFS is cooking up something in the Jan. 6 timeframe. That's the one I'm after. If that one isn't at least interesting to track... it'll be sad.
  4. Well, at least the entire MA/NE is above freezing. We can all suffer together [emoji51] Dynamic cooling bombs or bust. Otherwise head to the mountains.
  5. I may be misremembering but 28th was a long shot chance as the pattern was changing. Real first window was always the 4th/6th, which is too far away to know anything. If we make it to mid-January with nothing but hopes for winter to be saved in February… that’s a disaster.
  6. GFS says take to the WV mountains this week if you can’t wait another few weeks for snow.
  7. Yeah it’s not even really close. I get annoyed when it’s 33 and not snowing… when it’s 50 I can get over it.
  8. Aren’t we smart enough not to engage folks looking for attention in the LR thread?
  9. First ignore of the year… only ever ignored one person before. Sweet start
  10. In retrospect that's obvious, but when I asked it I was not thinking it would be so recent. Good to have that perspective
  11. If you've got the stats, when is the last time we had more <=32F days than 90+ days?
  12. Euro still has the light disturbance on the 23/24th. Verbatim it’s some light rain and FRZA for colder spots. Worth keeping casual eye on.
  13. Dry slot coming in. Can’t see how we get to the 18-24” that was predicted. Barely have a foot right now.
  14. I look at these posts and a little part of me thinks, thank god this isn’t snow. Already seeing the end on radar!
  15. HRRR gives a dusting to many on the backside of the storm.
  16. EURO control has a Christmas Eve Eve miracle
  17. The follow up wave has enough cold to pull something off, but I take your larger point.
  18. as I try to learn during a relatively quiet period - for our area, we'd want this "vort max(?)" closer to the NC/VA border, correct? and ideally tilted negatively instead of positively?
  19. Run-over-run change... pretty clearly a step toward a better vort pass. Does that lead to any real outcome? Someone smarter can decide
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