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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. I appreciate the smart people chiming in even if it’s gloomy, but I feel like it’s things we all sorta know? Like it’s gonna be harder to get an above average winter… cool. I think if Baltimore got 25”, DC gets ~15”… we’d all be sorta satisfied. “Above average” means something different when the average has decreased YoY
  2. 00z GFS not horribly far off on the day before Thanksgiving. At least looks like an interesting day of weather verbatim. Almost tries a follow up storm too.
  3. trust me, wasn’t taking the outcome to heart, it just gave me flashbacks to last year! Good to know that is the tendency for a Nino December, though.
  4. The output on the service reminds me waaaay too much of last year. Maybe this time around (not that this has things even close to nailed af 11 days) they won’t cut and will trend in the opposite direction.
  5. Was coming here to comment that the radar has a winter storm look. Seems like that’s because it actually is for our most snow-friendly locales, lol
  6. Disliked by people on social media… everyone hates everyone on social media unless you are only posting cat pictures. Still think CWG’s reputation among normal people is good, imo
  7. Could use the rain/snow to dampen the wildfire threat!
  8. Feel like we desperately need a pseudo-official meetup soon. It’s been a long time — and now I’m past old enough to drink at one. [emoji482]
  9. https://x.com/capitalweather/status/1722623567119134926?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
  10. Nice to see something at range, at least. I’d like something a little trackable by late November.
  11. Managed to win my leagues despite Zay Flowers. [emoji51]
  12. Massive weenie, bad reputation with the wx Twitter people. Not like we all aren’t guilty of this, but he’ll show the snowiest outcome and stick with it. Was using the CFS for short range forecasting last year.
  13. BWI: 17.1” DCA: 12.1” IAD: 24.2” RIC: 12” SBY tiebreaker: 6.5” very much subject to change til the last minute!
  14. You had me at ‘09-‘10 being the most common analog! Awesome job - read the whole thing and it was very digestible even for someone who hasn’t picked up the fancier terms over their years here. Thanks for putting this together for everyone!
  15. Seeing some crazy ens outputs posted on Twitter related to the “snowicane” that the OP GFS teased on some random run. Almost enough to make me renew my WxBell subscription before November.
  16. DCA: 11/7 IAD: 10/30 BWI: 10/30 RIC: 11/16 BWI Departure: +0.5
  17. Ophelia post-season upgrade could get you there [emoji102]
  18. I went with weathermodels for a season and ended up back at WxBell just because I liked the feel of WxBell better. I get the sense I am paying double for less stuff, but with the fact that it’s still relatively cheap… I went with comfort. WxBell is continually making some improvements and has always been responsive to issues with me so I’m fairly happy with them.
  19. Bad day for ACC football. Hoping UVA’s delay ends shortly. Getting folks in and out of the stadium when it storms is a massive mess.
  20. Welp, as I update my address in a million other places, might as well do it here. The location in my bio has officially been changed to Washington D.C. Yikes. Goodbye snow! I'll never see you again.
  21. Didn't realize storms were in the cards. Was shocked to realize it was raining. Some decently loud thunder cracks too.
  22. Snoozer - okay missing out this time though. Hope everyone with damage is doing well.
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