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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    GFS again coming in with a medium range opportunity early Wednesday morning. Looks kinda like the EURO Something trackable at a reasonable timeframe. Let’s do it.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Radar says it *could* be snowing around the MD/PA border. Can we get PSU some measurable by morning to save the season?
  3. NorthArlington101
    Start a thread? https://x.com/capitalweather/status/1729338241138970872?s=42&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg hrrr has some squalls for NMD
  4. NorthArlington101
    If a clipper gives DCA more than 2” of snow this year I’ll donate $50 to a charity of this board’s choice. Or just to the functioning of this board
  5. NorthArlington101
    Do you remember last December? That might’ve been my worst month of this forum, period. Everyone was in.
  6. NorthArlington101
    Appreciate the insights… especially when they are optimistic. Thanks for sharing your hard work!
  7. NorthArlington101
    Looking at the radar and pretending it’s snow.
  8. NorthArlington101
    I’ve already forgotten the entire contents of both my college-level stats classes, but I feel like we’d need some kind of measure of correlation (r-squared?) to go along with this. But it is preliminarily interesting.
  9. NorthArlington101
    Control and a handful of the 00z EPS members come through with a modest storm in the same timeframe. I think others have said this ad nauseum already, but that's probably the timeframe to watch.
  10. NorthArlington101
    yeah I saw... but I'll take a "window" in late November that gives us a chance at a blockbuster over a 32 degree storm where I pray for .5" in the urban hellscape of DC.
  11. NorthArlington101
    pretty stellar 2-day mean for this range... in late November.
  12. NorthArlington101
    Very, very early, but might lose him to the NBA after this year. He's looked awesome. Would be a great example for future recruits that Tony can do wonders for you, even if you redshirt your first year.
  13. NorthArlington101
    CAD is always underdone at range
  14. NorthArlington101
    Gonna be nice for SWVA/western burbs, I think.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Man, a month later with better cold air, you’d almost think this 00z GFS run might be about to do something.
  16. NorthArlington101
    Interesting for favored zones, at least.
  17. NorthArlington101
    See you all tonight for the 00z EURO /s… right? [emoji51]
  18. NorthArlington101
    Pessimism is a no-brainer with the warmer winters of late… but hope you are right and we go big instead of going home this time. Thanks for the time and effort you put into this (and every post here).
  19. NorthArlington101
    Jeez, I assumed this was going the opposite way. Glad to have you onboard!
  20. NorthArlington101
    if model snow maps in November will irk ya, don’t check P05 of the 18z GEFS. 1’+ DC and west, but literally nada in Baltimore. And only 6 days away!
  21. NorthArlington101
    Caved and subscribed to WxBell again today... there are a handful of GEFS and EPS members that throw some snow around. Far from anything really interesting, but enough to keep (a weenie) me entertained. Kind of a coastal look with cold not too far away...
  22. NorthArlington101
    I appreciate the smart people chiming in even if it’s gloomy, but I feel like it’s things we all sorta know? Like it’s gonna be harder to get an above average winter… cool. I think if Baltimore got 25”, DC gets ~15”… we’d all be sorta satisfied. “Above average” means something different when the average has decreased YoY
  23. NorthArlington101
    00z GFS not horribly far off on the day before Thanksgiving. At least looks like an interesting day of weather verbatim. Almost tries a follow up storm too.
  24. NorthArlington101
    trust me, wasn’t taking the outcome to heart, it just gave me flashbacks to last year! Good to know that is the tendency for a Nino December, though.
  25. NorthArlington101
    The output on the service reminds me waaaay too much of last year. Maybe this time around (not that this has things even close to nailed af 11 days) they won’t cut and will trend in the opposite direction.
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