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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Man, a month later with better cold air, you’d almost think this 00z GFS run might be about to do something.
  2. See you all tonight for the 00z EURO /s… right? [emoji51]
  3. Pessimism is a no-brainer with the warmer winters of late… but hope you are right and we go big instead of going home this time. Thanks for the time and effort you put into this (and every post here).
  4. Jeez, I assumed this was going the opposite way. Glad to have you onboard!
  5. if model snow maps in November will irk ya, don’t check P05 of the 18z GEFS. 1’+ DC and west, but literally nada in Baltimore. And only 6 days away!
  6. Caved and subscribed to WxBell again today... there are a handful of GEFS and EPS members that throw some snow around. Far from anything really interesting, but enough to keep (a weenie) me entertained. Kind of a coastal look with cold not too far away...
  7. I appreciate the smart people chiming in even if it’s gloomy, but I feel like it’s things we all sorta know? Like it’s gonna be harder to get an above average winter… cool. I think if Baltimore got 25”, DC gets ~15”… we’d all be sorta satisfied. “Above average” means something different when the average has decreased YoY
  8. 00z GFS not horribly far off on the day before Thanksgiving. At least looks like an interesting day of weather verbatim. Almost tries a follow up storm too.
  9. trust me, wasn’t taking the outcome to heart, it just gave me flashbacks to last year! Good to know that is the tendency for a Nino December, though.
  10. The output on the service reminds me waaaay too much of last year. Maybe this time around (not that this has things even close to nailed af 11 days) they won’t cut and will trend in the opposite direction.
  11. Was coming here to comment that the radar has a winter storm look. Seems like that’s because it actually is for our most snow-friendly locales, lol
  12. Disliked by people on social media… everyone hates everyone on social media unless you are only posting cat pictures. Still think CWG’s reputation among normal people is good, imo
  13. Could use the rain/snow to dampen the wildfire threat!
  14. Feel like we desperately need a pseudo-official meetup soon. It’s been a long time — and now I’m past old enough to drink at one. [emoji482]
  15. https://x.com/capitalweather/status/1722623567119134926?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
  16. Nice to see something at range, at least. I’d like something a little trackable by late November.
  17. Managed to win my leagues despite Zay Flowers. [emoji51]
  18. Massive weenie, bad reputation with the wx Twitter people. Not like we all aren’t guilty of this, but he’ll show the snowiest outcome and stick with it. Was using the CFS for short range forecasting last year.
  19. BWI: 17.1” DCA: 12.1” IAD: 24.2” RIC: 12” SBY tiebreaker: 6.5” very much subject to change til the last minute!
  20. You had me at ‘09-‘10 being the most common analog! Awesome job - read the whole thing and it was very digestible even for someone who hasn’t picked up the fancier terms over their years here. Thanks for putting this together for everyone!
  21. Seeing some crazy ens outputs posted on Twitter related to the “snowicane” that the OP GFS teased on some random run. Almost enough to make me renew my WxBell subscription before November.
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