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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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inexperienced eyes say -- step in the right direction when it comes to something more notable, but no cigar. Temps also a big problem during the day weds verbatim.
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EURO takes the clipper aspect of the system further north -- light snow up near central PA.
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money shot
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Lol, it’s a sweet run. Very close to a solid storm.
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GFS again coming in with a medium range opportunity early Wednesday morning. Looks kinda like the EURO Something trackable at a reasonable timeframe. Let’s do it.
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Radar says it *could* be snowing around the MD/PA border. Can we get PSU some measurable by morning to save the season?
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Start a thread? https://x.com/capitalweather/status/1729338241138970872?s=42&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg hrrr has some squalls for NMD
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If a clipper gives DCA more than 2” of snow this year I’ll donate $50 to a charity of this board’s choice. Or just to the functioning of this board
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Do you remember last December? That might’ve been my worst month of this forum, period. Everyone was in.
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DarkShark's Winter Forecast 2023-24
NorthArlington101 replied to DarkSharkWX's topic in Mid Atlantic
Appreciate the insights… especially when they are optimistic. Thanks for sharing your hard work! -
Looking at the radar and pretending it’s snow.
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I’ve already forgotten the entire contents of both my college-level stats classes, but I feel like we’d need some kind of measure of correlation (r-squared?) to go along with this. But it is preliminarily interesting.
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Control and a handful of the 00z EPS members come through with a modest storm in the same timeframe. I think others have said this ad nauseum already, but that's probably the timeframe to watch.
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yeah I saw... but I'll take a "window" in late November that gives us a chance at a blockbuster over a 32 degree storm where I pray for .5" in the urban hellscape of DC.
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pretty stellar 2-day mean for this range... in late November.
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Very, very early, but might lose him to the NBA after this year. He's looked awesome. Would be a great example for future recruits that Tony can do wonders for you, even if you redshirt your first year.
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CAD is always underdone at range
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Gonna be nice for SWVA/western burbs, I think.
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Man, a month later with better cold air, you’d almost think this 00z GFS run might be about to do something.
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Interesting for favored zones, at least.
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See you all tonight for the 00z EURO /s… right? [emoji51]
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Pessimism is a no-brainer with the warmer winters of late… but hope you are right and we go big instead of going home this time. Thanks for the time and effort you put into this (and every post here).
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Jeez, I assumed this was going the opposite way. Glad to have you onboard!
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if model snow maps in November will irk ya, don’t check P05 of the 18z GEFS. 1’+ DC and west, but literally nada in Baltimore. And only 6 days away!
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Caved and subscribed to WxBell again today... there are a handful of GEFS and EPS members that throw some snow around. Far from anything really interesting, but enough to keep (a weenie) me entertained. Kind of a coastal look with cold not too far away...
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