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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    End of run looks like a MECS though
  2. NorthArlington101
    This ends up dry, btw
  3. NorthArlington101
    Euro has a T-1” for NYD before it loading what looks pretty epic at Day 10. Loading something else up at Day 14 too
  4. NorthArlington101
    Hmm
  5. NorthArlington101
    Ends up as a 2-5” that doesn’t bomb til NYC but pattern looks pretty sweet. Couple more boring days til we track something, hopefully
  6. NorthArlington101
    Not a lot of love for ice Friday, but that does seem to be a legitimate threat, especially for favored northern spots. Not exactly boring but not interesting now either
  7. NorthArlington101
    pretty snowy for NYC though. If it wasn’t a holiday it might be a good week to go
  8. NorthArlington101
    Def a tick south and colder makes it a respectable ice storm. Would be a wintry day at least
  9. NorthArlington101
  10. NorthArlington101
    It’s pretty sleety, at least. I’ll share the map once it generates.
  11. NorthArlington101
    AIGFS is a little colder on the surface then previous runs. Not super ptype confident but think it might be snow -> ice for most north of 66 (for Friday)
  12. NorthArlington101
    GFS manages to squeak out a little Christmas Day snow TV for some folks in northern Maryland. Torchmas
  13. NorthArlington101
    You ignored the post above it where I honked for a miller A 14 days out
  14. NorthArlington101
    Also on AIFS ens.... please remember we seem to have pretty much decided it can't tell the difference between snow/IP/FRZA/etc - but I see this as the total amount of wintry precip it's seeing for Friday. Just gotta mentally convert it to a QPF map
  15. NorthArlington101
    Deep range but AIFS is lit up at the very end of the run. Quite a signal for days 14-16… mock it all ya want.
  16. NorthArlington101
    A rainbow of options for sure. I'm going to (likely) be in Staunton for this one so I don't think I care too much what happens. Probably face the wrath of my girlfriend and retreat back to DC if it somehow trends to a higher end advisory storm, otherwise I'm fine missing a sleet/ice mess.
  17. NorthArlington101
    It’s not a perfect comparison but trusting a single good poster on Twitter for how the whole season is gonna go will work as well as trusting a fantasy football analyst for your week to week start/sits. Nobody knows. Strange things happen. Random players can have a home run game. We’ve got 3 months to go in winter where it can be significantly snowy around here. Cannot possibly wave a white flag yet.
  18. NorthArlington101
    I like the flurries it shows on the 23rd lol
  19. NorthArlington101
  20. NorthArlington101
    It's the iciest model in the world. Always disregard unless something similar is shown by literally every other model. Whole GEM suite is usually too cold at the surface at range (and pretty close to gametime)
  21. NorthArlington101
    Downtown D.C. at 10' or so probably got .3"-.5" from the storm we just had. Move over to Arlington at even 100' you pretty solidly get 1". Just drove it the other day.
  22. NorthArlington101
    I just feel like those kind of events never ever ever work out for us. GEFS/GFS always shows it but never happens. EPS/AIFS pretty much say shut the blinds for this week, which probably won't surprise anyone. Next very tiny window might be early next week before we hope something opens up around or after the holidays.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Matches what I got in downtown. Also drove through the GW Parkway & 14th St Bridge… really couldn’t have been more than .5”. The second you climb a bit into Arlington it’s a different world, but I think the total is likely right.
  24. NorthArlington101
    This is hardly a controversial take but I think I’m shutting the blinds til Christmas Day or so. Guess it’s possible a discrete window to track something opens up by the 20th. But five days of not checking every EURO/GFS run sounds nice!
  25. NorthArlington101
    For several reasons I doubt I’m living in this part of DC next winter, if I’m even in dc. Doubt the gf will let me factor elevation into it but would be nice to reclaim some greenery and height. I’m going with DCA’s 0.3” though it is awesome being so close to the mall when it does snow
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