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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Not a lot of love for ice Friday, but that does seem to be a legitimate threat, especially for favored northern spots. Not exactly boring but not interesting now either
  2. pretty snowy for NYC though. If it wasn’t a holiday it might be a good week to go
  3. Def a tick south and colder makes it a respectable ice storm. Would be a wintry day at least
  4. It’s pretty sleety, at least. I’ll share the map once it generates.
  5. AIGFS is a little colder on the surface then previous runs. Not super ptype confident but think it might be snow -> ice for most north of 66 (for Friday)
  6. GFS manages to squeak out a little Christmas Day snow TV for some folks in northern Maryland. Torchmas
  7. You ignored the post above it where I honked for a miller A 14 days out
  8. Also on AIFS ens.... please remember we seem to have pretty much decided it can't tell the difference between snow/IP/FRZA/etc - but I see this as the total amount of wintry precip it's seeing for Friday. Just gotta mentally convert it to a QPF map
  9. Deep range but AIFS is lit up at the very end of the run. Quite a signal for days 14-16… mock it all ya want.
  10. A rainbow of options for sure. I'm going to (likely) be in Staunton for this one so I don't think I care too much what happens. Probably face the wrath of my girlfriend and retreat back to DC if it somehow trends to a higher end advisory storm, otherwise I'm fine missing a sleet/ice mess.
  11. It’s not a perfect comparison but trusting a single good poster on Twitter for how the whole season is gonna go will work as well as trusting a fantasy football analyst for your week to week start/sits. Nobody knows. Strange things happen. Random players can have a home run game. We’ve got 3 months to go in winter where it can be significantly snowy around here. Cannot possibly wave a white flag yet.
  12. It's the iciest model in the world. Always disregard unless something similar is shown by literally every other model. Whole GEM suite is usually too cold at the surface at range (and pretty close to gametime)
  13. Downtown D.C. at 10' or so probably got .3"-.5" from the storm we just had. Move over to Arlington at even 100' you pretty solidly get 1". Just drove it the other day.
  14. I just feel like those kind of events never ever ever work out for us. GEFS/GFS always shows it but never happens. EPS/AIFS pretty much say shut the blinds for this week, which probably won't surprise anyone. Next very tiny window might be early next week before we hope something opens up around or after the holidays.
  15. Matches what I got in downtown. Also drove through the GW Parkway & 14th St Bridge… really couldn’t have been more than .5”. The second you climb a bit into Arlington it’s a different world, but I think the total is likely right.
  16. This is hardly a controversial take but I think I’m shutting the blinds til Christmas Day or so. Guess it’s possible a discrete window to track something opens up by the 20th. But five days of not checking every EURO/GFS run sounds nice!
  17. For several reasons I doubt I’m living in this part of DC next winter, if I’m even in dc. Doubt the gf will let me factor elevation into it but would be nice to reclaim some greenery and height. I’m going with DCA’s 0.3” though it is awesome being so close to the mall when it does snow
  18. I don’t think I could get more than a 0.5” measurement off my deck right now. I’m calling it a night but will trust whatever comes in spotter report-wise for me. really kinda had 1.5” as my floor… whoops
  19. Dayum. Should’ve chased this one, though idk if my car could handle getting out of there haha
  20. Can tell you that N Cap is not caving. But rates seem good, flake size is nice. Would like to pull an 1” out of a hat
  21. Best stuff of the night in DC. Big field outside my apartment has caved. Think we’ve hit a turning point
  22. Struggling to maintain the slushy coating with temps hovering around 33. May need to apologize to the folks more worried about temps. Still nice to see the snow fall, but hard to see me eclipsing 1”, maybe less
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