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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    This may age pretty well
  2. NorthArlington101
    Fair - WxBell 10:1 maps have about half of that so I guess it likes the ratios, which isn’t crazy. Probably over analyzing the FV3 at this point. I’ll say you win
  3. NorthArlington101
    I may have blinked and missed things today but I thought we were supposed to wake up to more than 2” at 6am. I’m willing to cave to being wrong, though. Guess every flake sticks even if it’s not heavy from midnight-6.
  4. NorthArlington101
    It would probably be fine but it barely starts in DC until like 6am. Storm is gonna start Monday at this rate. This was supposed to start tomorrow night at one point!
  5. NorthArlington101
    3k precip through 7am is anemic. Jeez.
  6. NorthArlington101
    Unfortunately the ens seemingly can’t factor sleet/snow. Still a lot of total wintry precip
  7. NorthArlington101
    Thanks to @nw baltimore wx and @nj2va for joining me for a happy hour! Always nice to meet more folks. Cheers to all models caving to the GFS
  8. NorthArlington101
    Post was in reference to a digital snow run that had 4” of sleet and not a lot of snow. 7 days ago that was an epic fantasy run. Now we’re all mad about it (not all, but ya know)
  9. NorthArlington101
    Well I only checked because it screamed robot to my human brain. I don’t do that to everyone’s posts (though maybe I should)
  10. NorthArlington101
    I’m on mobile so I can’t move this to banter but it’s HILARIOUS how this was an awesome, epic fantasy run and now we’re gonna be miserable if this is the outcome. Perspective shifting, honestly
  11. NorthArlington101
    meh too slow - no map before hr96 is real!!
  12. NorthArlington101
    Looks like my job got stolen. I'll let @SnowenOutThere post the final totals at hr96. It did cut back a bit near Richmond/SE Virginia, so it's hopefully the start toward a compromise-ish solution? But technically it's better than 12z, so I guess the camps widened in some respects.
  13. NorthArlington101
    Gonna give ya'll the pretty maps then go meet @nw baltimore wx and @nj2va at a happy hour... still not too late to join us at Succotash in 20m!
  14. NorthArlington101
    Correct
  15. NorthArlington101
    sleet line doesn't really move from here the rest of the run
  16. NorthArlington101
    DC flips by 78 but we'd still be happy. 8" non-Kuchera.
  17. NorthArlington101
    Precip looks to end up delayed not denied - wetter at 72
  18. NorthArlington101
    Looks a bit slower toggling back and forth on WxBell. But like an hour or two. If you think it's drier you are probably also right
  19. NorthArlington101
    Glad to know I can still detect a robot
  20. NorthArlington101
    I think this hobby suffers from the same issues that plague the world -- too much information, a rush to be first, a drive toward saying polarizing things to get attention. I can't come up with a solution to any of these problems other then some slight unplugging. I'm not sure there was a way to have watched this storm and not feel at least a little rugpulled/frustrated, though. Sometimes that just happens.
  21. NorthArlington101
    Getting dangerously close to banter so mods move if you want but I'm pretty sure that was an instance of confluence weakening. Snowstorm wasn't really supposed to make it as far as it did (i.e., to Cville, Fredericksburg) a day or two before it happened. Folks probably wanted it to weaken more then it did but it weakened.
  22. NorthArlington101
    I feel like confluence is one of those things that never trends stronger going into gametime. Maybe it's just the position we usually watch from, but I feel like we're always watching it weaken. Or maybe I'm totally crazy.
  23. NorthArlington101
    The RRFS & the 3k map the 700mb level (seemingly our warm level) cold out similarly and it's deeper/more impressive than the 12k. I'm willing to toss the 12k flipping us quite so fast on those merits. Really need the typical gametime WAA-juicy trend to start hitting some of these higher end forecast numbers, though. Still like 5" as a floor, I hope.
  24. NorthArlington101
    LWX also pretty aggro. We'll see
  25. NorthArlington101
    Wiki article says Falls Church got 13". I totally believe you though... classic DCA crummy elevation screw job.
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