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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    For the time being, the consensus definitely would seem to be that closer to the NC/VA border is the spot that could sneak in a snow shower with any secondary development early next week. Right where we want it?
  2. NorthArlington101
    Yeah, our only shot locally is flukey secondary nonsense. EPS is actually more into it than I assumed it would be. Worth watching cause nothing else is on the table right now
  3. NorthArlington101
    That depiction might work for the mountains (prob not for Cville) if that's the way things went but pretty sure the only way we'd see flakes in the metros where most of us are is if the EURO/UKIE/CMC/ICON have a clue and we just happen to be the lucky spot
  4. NorthArlington101
    The secondary development is fairly clear on the 12z EPS... not paying for individual members yet but the mean through the area is a T of snow at this point.
  5. NorthArlington101
    ICON has it for Central Va, UKIE has it for NE MD. Think it could be real… would just like first flakes without needing to drive to Snowshoe
  6. NorthArlington101
    Pivotal, WxBell, and Weathermodels are probably the options for the nicer maps these days. WxBell is more expensive (like twice as much as Weathermodels at least) but since I’m a sucker for routine I’ll probably pay it ($30/mo) once we’ve got a real threat on the horizon. I’ve learned to navigate it well on my phone too which helps
  7. NorthArlington101
    Love the ICON bringing snow showers to coastal South Carolina before us
  8. NorthArlington101
    They need another warning for exceptionally gusty showers. No thunder = not a thunderstorm
  9. NorthArlington101
    I’m still invested in the flurries, but nice to see a colder long range + a trackable something at Day 15. I’m eager to get back into the sport of tracking, even if nobody should realistically be expecting any snow til December.
  10. NorthArlington101
    18z EURO looked a bit interesting at the end of its run. Least for the mountains. That’s where my commentary ends.
  11. NorthArlington101
    Mountains get a decent hit and it’s cold enough something might fly over. it’s nice to even be looking
  12. NorthArlington101
    12z EURO has plausible first flakes/flurries for the next Monday/Tuesday period. First “threat window” maybe
  13. NorthArlington101
    GFS interesting again. I’d chase that Monday and just take it off since Tuesday is a federal holiday. Let’s see what happens.
  14. NorthArlington101
    Happy Models Initiate at the Right Time of Day Eve! A day when many re-up their WxBell subscriptions… though I may way til a real threat now that lots of Euro stuff is free.
  15. NorthArlington101
    BWI: 11.3” DCA: 9.7” IAD: 12.1” RIC: 7.9” SBY: 9.0” I’ll let this slightly pessimistic guess (aka roughly new climo) be my starting point and then adjust as I get caught in this hype
  16. NorthArlington101
    Those rare ones seem tricky! I think you have to try the mountains for lenticular clouds... but I'd be pretty shocked if anyone gets any of those minus maybe the gravity waves.
  17. NorthArlington101
    More to come at the end of the EURO AI run
  18. NorthArlington101
    Without a yard to care about and biking work I really at this point root for it to b 70 degrees and sunny or snowing with no room in between. Hope this busts bigly!
  19. NorthArlington101
    Not looking like a miss, despite that hour detour on this forum yesterday. Shocking how all guidance and the NHC were right.
  20. NorthArlington101
    Yea, that’s more artfully what I was trying to get at. I don’t think the data is being interpreted well.
  21. NorthArlington101
    Mental note not to take this product too seriously… feel like for this kind of result it’s gotta be weird ptype issues.
  22. NorthArlington101
    Elliott is actually undefeated off bye weeks, so I would've been hoping for better. But hard not to be super stoked as a UVA football fan. Was at the Florida State game and got my tickets for Tech. Would be unbelievably frustrating to be 9-1 and lose against Tech still to drop us from the CFB Playoffs. Hurts me to type it
  23. NorthArlington101
    I guess it's sleet/mix? Wacky run lol.. within 10 days. Tropical Tidbits doesn't have it as snow haven't renewed my subscriptions anywhere else yet
  24. NorthArlington101
    TW for Fort Washington
  25. NorthArlington101
    Cville does better anyway, you can stay put
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