Eh - I think it’s pretty clear where the favored spots are for something like this and that’s all this shows. Maybe we are saying the same thing but I don’t take this as a massive negative. I don’t think there’s enough confidence to have anywhere but the spots that jut into the Atlantic yet… doesn’t mean we’d be out of the game at all.
Considering it didn’t really have a storm last run, this is an acceptable amount of progress. Would be a pretty annoying final outcome, though (not for our Eastern Shore folks though)
Unsurprisingly, some big hits in the GEFS. 6/30 pretty good. 1/30 meh. Rest say no thanks for us at least - some OBX winners. But big jump from previous runs.
I was gonna go with 7.5” off vibes but I need to see what the spotters around me do. Initial reports made no sense… one 7.0” in Anacosta at 12:30 and a 7.5” in NW… math not mathing. Took a super quick walk and it’s a glacier. My fairly main DC roads are not awesome. Wonder if we really get back to regular commute on Tuesday.
Did you see the EURO? Right above? Idk. I’ll take my odds on a EURO/AIFS combo with some random AI stuff thrown in at Day 7. We’ve got a fighting chance
Also a glaze starting to appear in DC. Definitely a sleet/freezing rain mix. Not sure what to think about the next few hours. Definitely haven’t felt compelled to go outside since this morning beyond just observing a sleet pack for a second.
I probably should’ve cleared my “snowboard” but figured it was gonna be tough to keep track of. Just trying to appreciate what’s falling one way or the other… it’s ripping pellets
Modeling consensus is definitely that this misses us off shore. Would rather not wait til 384 so just gonna keep tracking it until it’s off the end. Why not.
I’m still crossing my fingers and hoping never… but let us know if ya’ll do. Probably means we’re a few hours from a flip. Send the dumping sleet up here too! I want to truly get sandblasted