MillvilleWx

That's gonna be me on Wednesday. 84 here today with no clouds. Wednesday will be drizzle, mist and 57 max. Kind of looking forward to it. Tired of the warm weather lol

Ji would still be disappointed

I just decided to take a look at the cesspool myself and...........we need the meteor, like yesterday. Good lord

We could use some snow

BWI: 14.3 DCA: 8.6 IAD: 19.2 RIC: 8.1 SBY: 6.8

Just creepin. Did I miss anything the past month or so? I already know winter was canceled in July, so I'm caught up there

Idk what's worse; having a quick turnaround this morning after working a swing shift, or watching the Ravens defensive and offensive fronts look like complete and utter garbage for the umpteenth time in the past several years. I'm starting to realize that our scouting team are complete dog water when assessing OL talent outside the 1st round.

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Bringing this over to this thread as well from the Banter thread.

A nice upgrade coming to the CMC for the upcoming fall and winter. Implementation expected early next week (9/14). Here's a bit of a summary of the findings based on reanalysis of the parallel vs the current ops.

Ida is on its way guys. Buckle up tonight. This is the time frame of interest now.

It is. Just basically has that final hurdle to clear the eye and then all systems go. I wasn't expecting the storm to really go bonkers till tonight. Still much within the envelope.

Day-Cloud Phase showing an eye that is trying to clear out. Curious to see what happens in the next 2-4 hrs.

Just can't seem to get over that hurdle yet. Tonight should be interesting to say the least. Quite a picturesque cane for what it is so far.

It's been trying a while. I think the prime time for the hurricane models has been after 7 PM CDT tonight into tomorrow. Still got time to really get cranking, but it's teetering on the edge of taking off. Once it can clear out, there will be no stopping this buzz saw.

My EM friends said there really was no way to enact a contraflow because it take A LOT of resources and at minimum 2 days to prep for contraflow. Plus, other states are involved in the planning, so this isn't an easy task. Otherwise, I would've been telling people to get out yesterday. They tip toed too much around it. Faster moving system. Need to make a decision ASAP. Also, resources stretched thin due to the Pandemic. It's a logistical nightmare.

Ida will be entering the most favorable waters in the Gulf this evening as a pronounced pocket of 87-90F waters are just ahead of its current position. The poleward outflow should continue to be more distinct thanks to the situated ridging to the north. Notice the storm will be entering the most favorable area of min deep layer shear which will lead to convection becoming undisturbed throughout the remainder of the storms life cycle to landfall (Outlined in the black box). The favorable time frame will be approaching as well with the diurnal component coinciding with the most favorable synoptics. That's one of the reasons NHC was likely bullish with the call to adjust up to Cat 4 yesterday due to the timing of all the factors coming together, plus an inordinate amount of statistical and numerical guidance showing a favored RI period between 7 PM today and 7 AM tomorrow. No dry air to be found either. All systems should be go for Ida to really take off tonight. I do not like the storm hugging the eastern side of the envelope as this points to higher impacts for NoLA. Hopefully many heed the warnings and get out.

Oh my. That looks amazing. Kimchi looks fantastic

Maximum Sustained Wind Overall (mph): 155Maximum Sustained Wind at Landfall (mph): 150Pressure at Landfall (mb): 939mbLandfall Location: Cocodrie, LA

I'm not liking the looks of this one for Louisiana. I'll be monitoring closely and praying for my friends at Slidell (WFO New Orleans).

Thanks! I stayed at a Holiday Inn Express last night

I know a few from the sub do it every year. I mentioned in the main thread in Sports Zone, I will be joining the ruckus as well. Someone has to beat @H2O and bring down his ego

There is too much volatility in long range forecasting due to the inherent chaos of atmospheric principles that bring us our ambient weather on a daily basis. There are also prognostications like teleconnections that are a main driver for cyclical patterns in North America, which are absolutely a driving force behind winter weather forecasting due to the addition of long wave amplitudes that accompany the cold/warm pushes from poleward moving airmasses. At a time like this, there's only takes on trends and comparing to previous cycles from years past to get a glimpse of the, "What might happen.." portion of long range, winter forecasting. There are too many variables to discern as to whether the season is prime for a drubbing or a dud. Until then, I wouldn't even sweat it and come back in the mid-fall time frame where some of the indications becoming clearer, but still a ways from solving any riddles on what might happen in the months ahead.

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Glad y'all are getting some rain back home. We've been getting crushed for months. It's so green here, but these mosquitos are AWFUL. Growing very old lol