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Everything posted by MillvilleWx
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We had a crazy gradient in our CWA too. It went from dry to completely parched the further west you went
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I think it has something to do with the energy at hand. A northern stream system that has significant wave amplitude will begin with more energy and the colder air involved might add to the baroclinicity factor, especially once near the coast. That's just my proxy on that. I'll see if I can find any articles that pertain to the theory.
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There was supposed to be precip but it was pretty dry sadly. Nothing really came to fruition until it was above freezing for much of the region. Sorry for the late response! Just worked day 6 of 10. Oyyy
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HREF guidance at 00z pegs a corridor of light ZR accumulations across areas west of US15 out to the 81 corridor. There's a secondary bit along Pars Ridge in Carroll and the PA Line from Thurmont/Emmitsburg to northern Harford County. It's minor at 0.01-0.1" of ZR with temps between 29-32F for 3-6 hrs. It might make for tricky travel in the early morning before surface sufficiently rebounds above freezing between 14-17z everywhere. The further NE you are, the longer the sub-freezing temps will hold in this setup. Could be rough from PSU-Mappy-Jarretsville tomorrow morning.
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Was thinking the same thing when I was mulling over guidance. That sucker will give us some serious wind for the Panhandle. Have the blocking a bit weaker to the north and someone could get lucky across VA. Smokey mountains would get popped pretty good on that presentation.
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I remember this run! This one is up there with the 65" NAM run before the 2013 New England Blizzard lol The crazy part is the map is actually good outlining the hardest hit areas. Was just a touch rambunctious on the total snowfall lol
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Sir. I'm gonna have to ask you politely to NEVER post this storm in here ever again. Sincerely, A Scarred Meteorologist and Mid Atlantic Snow Lover
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That site has helped us on our biggest snow and severe events around here. It was used by multiple people in this office, including me, for the recent major winter storm. Did a solid job, but this one was its own beast in other ways. Pretty awesome site to keep bookmarked.
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So, yesterday I came in pretty disappointed after being hung out to dry (literally) by mother nature for most of our storm. The last 4.5 hrs, however brought some serious magic and we almost reached 5" for the storm total (3.5" in 4.5 hrs). It was incredible as we hugged the western edge like some people around here hug models. The last band brought 1.6" of the fluffiest snow I'll ever see for down here in 2 hrs time. I could not believe my luck. It was a banner way to exit an otherwise craptastic year. Here's to 2021. Happy New Year everyone
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I hope so. I'd love to track more snow with my crazy weather family
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Our new schedule starts PP1 (Sunday to be precise). I work a fair amount of 10 day stretches with 4 day weekends, so there will be opportunities to get away for a bit. My wife would probably come with me and we can hang out and watch the snowfall. Would love to come home for a little break and some snow. Trying to stay away from Covid too, so it'll be a play it by ear deal for sure. Fingers crossed for stars aligning there
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Pretty meager in Midland proper unfortunately. I provided a mini rant in the Banter thread. I got it out of my system lol A lot of my CWA got historic snowfall though, so I'm
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That's for sure. Part of my snark was in reference to that map resembling our epic run in 2010. Obviously, capitalizing on every single wave phase we had is unlikely, but the recipe for multiple storms and/or a big Kahuna is raised pretty significantly with the addition of blocking and greater height falls focused off the Mid Atlantic coast with lower height averages over Dixie and the lower Tennessee Valley. The fact it's inside 10 days to the pattern evolution is the best part of this if you're a winter weenie in the east coast
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That setup on the EPS is the kind of look you get with one storm happening and Ji looking for the next one only 5 days down the road.
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I got the Mid Atlantic special today. Under 2" for Midland, 7" 40 miles south, 4-8" to my east, 1-2' 100+ miles to my south. Spectacular fail for the Midland area to end the year.
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
MillvilleWx replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thanks man. She's currently doing alright with the current meds they put her on, but routine cardiologist appointments will now be in her future plans. The blood interactive component of the virus is truly a marvel, and this is certainly not the first disease that has prompted such a RUI (Return upon Infection). The precautionary bits have been met with a calamity of issues from flat out denial and political pandering. The scientific field has taken a step back this past year in some ways due due to the political fantasies of both parties. One side being unrealistic in the scientific merit of what has been found and happening in-front of our eyes. The other in full sublime dissonance when it comes to the economic toll of just "shutting down" industry without any sense of financial assistance needed to keep said business afloat. That's a story for another time. The human toll of this pandemic is something I hope to never see ever again. Communicable diseases are a completely different beast than say Cancer or any type of disease due to human genetic mutation factors and non-transmissible components (Type 2 diabetes for example). One thing I learned from the pandemic are there are a lot of selfish pricks in this country, and globally, and stupidity has run amuck on society. That's a pandemic that will never be solved and is growing at an uncomfortable rate. Sad but true story there. Stay safe up there! -
For those that don't follow me on Twitter: Today was a rough day. My parents let me know that after 13.5 years and raising him from an 8 week old puppy, we had to put down our family dog. He went downhill very rapidly under suspicion of a malignant brain tumor. I wish I could've held him and pet him one last time. What a horrible way to end 2020. Hopefully it snows tomorrow night and Thursday, but I'm beginning to have doubts. This year can pound sand.
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Still unknown, 1-2”/hr are a pretty good guess. Current Top CIPS analog for the time frame is January 9th, 2012 which is one of our biggest all time snowfalls with widespread 5-10”. The kicker with this one is the ULL forecast is stronger than what was produced with that storm. This is 3 closed contour 5H with 552dm max. That storm was 2 closed to the SE at 555dm. This one has the potential to be more potent. Whoever is just to the north of the 7H low will ultimately see very heavy snowfall for several hrs. Right now, it’s near or just south of the I-20 corridor from Monahans to Big Spring, TX down to Fort Stockton. It’s going to be close. Someone is going to see a crazy snowstorm. Thunder will be possible under the ULL for sure. .
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Yessir! GFSv16 is doing the same thing and NAM nest was about to do the same thing as the NAM. RGEM laid it down too. This trend is undeniable. Whoever gets this deformation axis will likely hit 8-12"+. The lift is off the charts. Triple closed ULL over the Big Bend is textbook for historic snowfalls down here.
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Guys. I need the NAM to verify out here for Wednesday night. I will lose my mind
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Merry Christmas to my AmericanWx family. I may be 1900 miles away, but my heart will always be in the Mid Atlantic. Enjoy the day and any snow that falls [emoji319][emoji3587] .
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
MillvilleWx replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Just found out the other day that one of good friends from college is officially a "Covid Long hauler" with heart issues stemming from her infection she got earlier this month. She was a moderate case with O2 sats dipping to 89/90 and had to use a proning technique that her uncle taught her to breathe better. She's over the lung issues for the most part. She still gets winded on longer walks and enhanced physical activity. Her heart is under-going anomalous palpitations, so she saw a cardiologist and they did a weeklong test with a portable EKG. She has classic PVC episodes now, and are textbook for people with heart problems that are induced by Covid. She is a healthy 27 year old who ran every other day since I've known her. No other health issues outside allergies in the spring. She got it an outdoor wedding end of November. Her husband got it too, but he was fine. He's O neg blood type and she's A+. The blood type and impact from Covid definitely holds some weight. It's crazy. Just be careful to all in here. You just never know. Light at the end of the tunnel is visible thankfully. Screw 2020 -
I sincerely hope you are talking about snow....
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I wanted to post where there will be higher viewer traffic in the sub-forum. This is a really awesome site created by a few researchers and developers for NWS. .
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*See above*