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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. Pretty interesting distribution. I know I’ve been sucker holed the entire event but I’m thinking I should get a stratus. I’m running lower than all surrounding stations. It is most pronounced during heavier events.
  2. It’s astounding how that works
  3. I must be getting downsloped because precipitation just evaporates over me lol
  4. Give me as much juice as possible. Today has been kind of a “bust” imby. Typical. That said, I’m still at 1.23” since Friday. Some PWS in SE CT over 2” today.
  5. Yeah. Tough forecasting specifics in any one location.
  6. Ha, beat me to it. Here’s a thread looking at the environmental conditions forecast. It’s not gospel, obviously, but it’s another piece of the puzzle.
  7. You can read about meteorological features, but it’s fascinating to see it all play out in realtime. Do you think some of those high end QPF depictions the next few days have a chance of verifying? I lean toward the Euro being more right than not, though I think it’s running a little hot. It’s not alone though.
  8. Somebody down here might get smoked. I’m at .98” since Friday.
  9. Namny had this line in western CT too. Pretty potent look.
  10. I’m not sure it can stay discrete, but the non warned cell near Newburgh could get interesting if it does.
  11. Yeah it’s doable, but it’s hard stuff. Terrain and chase infrastructure are horrible. It’s more risky to chase out here than the Midwest. More open spaces like NY can be good though if you’re in the right spot.
  12. I think this is it. Too far north and you’re dealing with cooler SSTs and inherently more stable/dry air due to proximity to the Sahara and subtropics. IMO there were robust waves coming off too far north that reinforced SAL during the climatological peak for SAL, and stability even as SAL declined. The further south waves fared much better, especially after SAL pushes weren’t as potent in the tropical Atlantic. I think that can be much less pronounced this season during peak, but I don’t know.
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