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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Should be a hurricane tomorrow morning. We’ll see if the alignment of the center will spur RI.
  2. WxWatcher007
    I have .25” on the day. I’d be pretty unhappy if that played out.
  3. WxWatcher007
    Per recon, the center has aligned. The shear hasn’t been enough to stop this progression so I’d be surprised if we didn’t get more short term intensification now that the vortex is fully upright.
  4. WxWatcher007
    Sure enough, dropsonde confirms a pressure of ~991mb. That’s an impressive drop between passes.
  5. WxWatcher007
    990mb extrapolated? That can’t be right lol. The last VDM was 998mb.
  6. WxWatcher007
    And I think we know we can rule out three areas: your backyard, my backyard, and all of far SW CT
  7. WxWatcher007
    The Swiss?
  8. WxWatcher007
    Funny how quiet it is knowing this one is likely staying OTS. After being a middling disappointment for so long, it's actually looking much better and resilient structurally. NHC forecasts it to be our first major of the season.
  9. WxWatcher007
    I'm in the central CT sucker hole, as usual
  10. WxWatcher007
    The melts will be epic in far southern CT if the rest of the state floods and they get a trace
  11. WxWatcher007
    Incredible.
  12. WxWatcher007
    I owe you. Will pay by the end of the week.
  13. WxWatcher007
    Can't really tell either. That's not a bad hook on radar for CT.
  14. WxWatcher007
    Was just about to post.
  15. WxWatcher007
    Right. Models aren't going to be able to pick out exact locations for something like this. It'll be interesting to see how close we get to maximizing potential. BOX just took their forecast up to 4-6" across much of central and eastern CT. The images out of parts of RI are pretty crazy right now.
  16. WxWatcher007
    That's very helpful, thanks. Looking at the HREF, it's quite aggressive across CT. Even the mean is impressive. It looks like the max is just south of HFD.
  17. WxWatcher007
    Was just thinking the same thing. Maybe an upper level low in the Gulf so not quite tropical (or enough time to become tropical)? Even the trough that kicks Earl OTS looks like it could become subtropical. The basin isn't dead that's for sure.
  18. WxWatcher007
    Chillin and grillin?
  19. WxWatcher007
    I'd be pretty surprised if there wasn't a good smoking in CT with this one. Still worry a little about SW CT, but I think they're good there too for a nice event.
  20. WxWatcher007
    Good to have you back. What an event that was.
  21. WxWatcher007
    We seal gaps and prepare for the flood. Bring it.
  22. WxWatcher007
    They never learn.
  23. WxWatcher007
    Folks up in far NE CT are getting smoked right now. FFW up for that area.
  24. WxWatcher007
    .21” so far
  25. WxWatcher007
    Heh, looks a little like the GFS. How much of this is that weak coastal low that pops?
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