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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. Ray returns with soul crushing realism for tropical weenies Looking forward to hitting the road this season. Still skeptical of the more aggressive seasonal forecasts despite outrageous SST anomalies and depth in the basin.
  2. I will always believe that oppressive starts at 70° dews. I’d slide those numbers down a bit as a result.
  3. Need that trough west otherwise it’s recurve city in August
  4. I think it’s too weak and too far away but I don’t really know.
  5. It’s fantasy of course, but I think the broader signal for tropical activity is real.
  6. Well for DC yeah lol that area misses everything. Not bad for coastal areas. It’s fantasy anyway, though I think the broader signal for tropical activity is real.
  7. Warms my weenie to see some red meat thrown out by the GFS.
  8. Aside from whatever the operational models show with discrete waves, the environment in the Atlantic will likely become more favorable in the next 7-10 days—that’s why there’s a fairly robust ensemble signal for that period. Also worth watching off the SE coast next week as a boundary could be a focal point for something brief. 95L was a little early, and kind of a sacrificial wave as it has been enveloped by the drier environment and unable to shake itself from the monsoon trough.
  9. Don has become the first hurricane of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season. Starting a thread for record keeping purposes. Can a mod move the Don related posts here?
  10. Don has become the first hurricane of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season.
  11. Back in tropical mode now that things are slowly heating up.
  12. I have 10.39” on the month. With the quiet wx ahead it looks like it’s time to finally turn my attention to tropical.
  13. It’s a red flag for me as we approach the peak of tropical season. We get more Great Lakes cutoff lows in August and there’s going to be a legitimate threat along the east coast/Atlantic Canada.
  14. Another one from today. From a friend in another part of town.
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