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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Not sure why the two oranges have the same development odds but only one is an invest. Still need to see development of course but it looks like the switch is flipping on with the monsoon trough breaking down into three areas of vorticity, the potential Gulf development, and what looks like a potential quasi-CAG in the western Atlantic/Caribbean. The GFS has a bunch of weenie solutions with that, but that may have the highest end potential long term for a strong system.
  2. WxWatcher007
    GFS led the way on it too…
  3. WxWatcher007
    Sounds like New England
  4. WxWatcher007
    This is why I keep coming back. Congratulations and best of luck.
  5. WxWatcher007
    Two oranges in the MDR and the lemon in the Gulf now.
  6. WxWatcher007
    I think a 0/20 makes sense for the Gulf. Again, it's not that there's anything particularly special right now with the wave, but that there should be a window for gradual development if it can get stay coherent and take advantage of cyclonic flow in the western Atlantic. It's not surprising IMO that the guidance has a marginal signal thus far, and that they've become more bullish as the wave traverses west.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Gradually coming to life...
  8. WxWatcher007
    I honestly think I’d put a D7 lemon on whatever meanders into the Gulf. GFS has something close to a TC but more importantly, the ensemble signal has grown steadily as we get closer to what looks like a conducive environment for gradual development taking shape.
  9. WxWatcher007
    That wave near the Antilles is worth watching. It may not look like much now as it’s consumed by SAL, or show up as clearly in the Gulf on model runs, but the environment in the Gulf a few days from now look good for something discrete to gain vorticity and organize some.
  10. WxWatcher007
    https://x.com/nwsboston/status/1691419471540318209?s=46&t=Nn9Cx92_8118fPdhHPdJHw
  11. WxWatcher007
    Just to Portland. Just over 3 hours. Long day though.
  12. WxWatcher007
    GFS shifted the stripe of heaviest precip north
  13. WxWatcher007
    The sky was really nice today. Drove up to Maine and back today. Beautiful day.
  14. WxWatcher007
    I’ve tried that and it doesn’t work. Just started happening to me a few days ago. Paging @dendrite
  15. WxWatcher007
    I can’t get mine to auto populate now. Are you doing anything special to get your tweets to do so?
  16. WxWatcher007
    https://x.com/nwswpc/status/1691287935927410689?s=46&t=Nn9Cx92_8118fPdhHPdJHw
  17. WxWatcher007
    Good stuff in here the last few days. Still not sure where I’m going to go with my peak forecast but I lean slightly BN.
  18. WxWatcher007
    It won’t but let’s get that little area of vorticity later this week on the GFS to pop over the Gulf Stream and bring us a PRE/Cape landfall
  19. WxWatcher007
    What a year of severe
  20. WxWatcher007
    Two lemons now.
  21. WxWatcher007
    So sorry for your loss. You and your family will be in my prayers.
  22. WxWatcher007
    GFS showing robust waves and opportunities for TC genesis inside a week is all I need to see. Increasing signal the the basin rises (somewhat) from the dead in the next week. Big test for the basin.
  23. WxWatcher007
    What a GFS run lol In all seriousness, it does look like we’re going to start seeing signs of life (no, not a basin full of canes) in the next week. Big big test for the season and basin.
  24. WxWatcher007
    Do tweets not auto embed anymore?
  25. WxWatcher007
    https://x.com/tropicaltidbits/status/1690795984283127808?s=46&t=Nn9Cx92_8118fPdhHPdJHw
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