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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Not enough hype. Cat 3 or bust.
  2. WxWatcher007
    Don’t even have to say it. That’s already a lock. Congrats PF
  3. WxWatcher007
    Yeah—it’s like a 2 on my interest scale. If we had development and a little more time further south, it’d be a different story. At any rate, looks like a nice potential rainmaker with some breezy conditions on the coast.
  4. WxWatcher007
    I haven’t really started looking until now but my quick thought is yes if it can get genesis going off the SC coast and over the Gulf Stream before lifting NE. In the whole scheme of things though it doesn’t look particularly impressive IMO. It doesn’t look fully baroclinic to me on the GFS but maybe I’m wrong @CoastalWx @weatherwiz?
  5. WxWatcher007
    August is here, which means we’re just a few weeks away from the start of the climatological peak. A lot of talk around the MJO happens, and as we look at a potentially favorable window near mid-month, it might be helpful to have a primer on MJO.
  6. WxWatcher007
    I've been making a point to sleep (though work has been getting in the way) because I know it's impossible for me to get more than a few hours when a threat is on the table. Hopefully I can get in at least one more chase this season. There's a good signal for late August to be active, which doesn't always happen. I'm expecting the peak to be well above average but just shy of hyperactive. IMO the SST profile in the MDR is the reason why. That said, the basin is heating up.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Definitely a little signal for TC genesis during the first ten days of the month but I wouldn’t worry about steering right now.
  8. WxWatcher007
  9. WxWatcher007
    A 384hr op image is nonsense, but the signal for some TC genesis in the MDR is legitimately there on the ensemble guidance.
  10. WxWatcher007
    I don’t think hyperactive happens due to the SST and OHC profile in the MDR, but above average looks as close to a lock as you can get.
  11. WxWatcher007
    The photo is edited to remove some of the noise and contrast issues, but yeah, the Milky Way was clearly visible across the sky once the eyes adjusted to the darkness.
  12. WxWatcher007
    Last night’s wx was perfect too. I was able to head down to RI to do some stargazing. First time capturing images like this. The whole summer has sucked for doing anything like this so I’m glad I could make one night work.
  13. WxWatcher007
    The weather was perfect up here last night so I finally got a chance to go to a dark sky location and capture this. Jupiter also makes an appearance as the brightest “star” in the image.
  14. WxWatcher007
    Great way to end July.
  15. WxWatcher007
    94/77 at CHS. First excessive heat warning there since 2012.
  16. WxWatcher007
    I haven’t been around much. How have you been? Ready for tropical?
  17. WxWatcher007
    Considering I literally can’t sleep more than a few hours a night when the basin is hot, I’m trying to rest up as much as possible. Work does not help.
  18. WxWatcher007
    Umm @MillvilleWx
  19. WxWatcher007
    Haven’t looked in a while, but peak season is right around the corner. Get your sleep now.
  20. WxWatcher007
    This is the content I stick around for.
  21. WxWatcher007
    Nuts
  22. WxWatcher007
    This is pretty extraordinary. First time I can recall smelling smoke and seeing visibility this low. Normal day on top, today on bottom.
  23. WxWatcher007
  24. WxWatcher007
    Might be worth watching something develop off the SE Coast as that front decays. 20% odds from the NHC this morning.
  25. WxWatcher007
    Barely visible Hartford skyline today Sunset
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