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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. I’d take the odds down for this one to be honest to 40/60. Sure, it may develop eventually and become the second hurricane of the season (good for my forecast) but there’s very little to inspire confidence that such a solution is truly viable given the complete inability thus far to build a basic TC structure let alone structure for intensification. It’s a legitimate question whether this even survives to the Antilles.
  2. This looks fully tropical to me. Upwelling may be a factor, but there’s a little OHC up there and the waters are anomalously warm—which may be contributing to why the MDR is a tire fire.
  3. What a middling underperformer 91L has been. Models have no idea what to do with it. Low level recon in now and still finding a disorganized mess so far.
  4. This one will be fun to track. Our first hurricane is going to be a September high latitude system lol.
  5. After a promising start, 91L has…fallen behind…
  6. I didn’t even know there was an 18z Ukie lol.
  7. The melts from folks further east would be epic. “Congrats Syracuse” ”We don’t get real coastals anymore” ”It might as well cut up the Hudson” ”Next”
  8. Oh yeah, I’m up there pretty frequently. That’s big time.
  9. I’m team August shutout. I’ve waited this long for something to pull it together. Might as well wait another day and make history.
  10. My oh my it is beautiful out here
  11. No landfalls on the horizon! Watch out for rip currents! Enjoy
  12. It’s incredible. The issues facing the Atlantic may be unique to the basin, but globally all the basins have struggled mightily to produce TC activity.
  13. Hmm… I think 91L will get a name first. It has strong convection and what should be a tightening center. I’m worried it’ll sputter on dry air though and lose momentum. I think 93L will be our first hurricane.
  14. All I care about now is getting my peak forecast as close to right as possible lol. This would be a good start, with the Euro highlighting more activity through early September.
  15. Looks like the race is on between the two invests this morning.
  16. The race is on in the Atlantic! Maybe it took a little competition from 93L to get 91L in gear, but it has a strengthening mid level center and deep convection despite nearby dry air that should allow further organization. Place your bets! Who will be the first NS? Who will be the first hurricane? 91L? Or 93L?
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