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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    I just like the transition. It doesn’t bother me at all because it’ll change back when it’s time. My first thought was that we’ll flip to warm/dry November 15 through April 15th
  2. WxWatcher007
    I may just wait until spring at this point.
  3. WxWatcher007
    .52” so far here
  4. WxWatcher007
    Everything above normal. Impressive.
  5. WxWatcher007
    Lemon off the SE coast now
  6. WxWatcher007
    Love how Kev is now on team @RUNNAWAYICEBERG wishing for COC to spare his seed.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Yeah keeps the heaviest mostly offshore. Still thinking tomorrow is pretty wet. At least an inch here I think.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Great game. PAC wayyy after dark. So glad football is back.
  9. WxWatcher007
    Euro soakah tomorrow
  10. WxWatcher007
    Homebrew signal for next weekend
  11. WxWatcher007
    Yeah pretty solid homebrew/hybrid signal for next weekend off the SE coast.
  12. WxWatcher007
    Agree with Tip—next weekend has homebrew/hybrid potential. Pretty good cross guidance signal for some kind of development off the SE coast. Coastal season starting early?
  13. WxWatcher007
    I don’t think Steve is in the let’s get hit camp lol.
  14. WxWatcher007
    We have Nigel. Staying below MH will be big for the forecast, though I think I’ll end up too low with NS at this point. We’ll see. WxWatcher007 Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 13 (10) Hurricanes: 6 (4) Major Hurricanes: 3 (3) Emily, Franklin (MH), Gert, Harold, Idalia (MH), Jose, Katia, Lee (MH), Margot (H), Nigel
  15. WxWatcher007
    Too far east as @dryslot said, weakening cane undergoing a late(ish) ET transition as @40/70 Benchmark talked about. For a big hit you need either a strong cane rocketing up the coast, or a trough interaction that provides a baroclinic assist that halts the usual unraveling a la Isaías a few years ago.
  16. WxWatcher007
    It’ll never get close to the US
  17. WxWatcher007
    Struggling so far. If it doesn’t become a major that’d be huge for my peak season forecast lol.
  18. WxWatcher007
    How often do we see that track, in any season.
  19. WxWatcher007
    Pretty potent low it looks like on the GFS/Euro for early next week. Another soaker?
  20. WxWatcher007
    Never had a chance.
  21. WxWatcher007
    Sunset here this evening
  22. WxWatcher007
    Dorian produced the greatest sunset I’ve ever seen, but this isn’t bad at all. Unedited
  23. WxWatcher007
    Yeah that's what I mean too. If something develops in the W Carib I think that's homebrew even if the wave came from Africa.
  24. WxWatcher007
    Hint of it on the Euro too. Given the overall pattern, any MDR stuff is getting kicked. If there are going to be any other US impacts, it'll come from a homebrew system IMO. Probably will be good for one to three between now and October 20.
  25. WxWatcher007
    Final approach. Not worth hitting the road for this one, but best of luck to all the Mainers and Nova Scotia peeps.
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