WxWatcher007

To add “analysis” to the thread… I don’t really have a read yet, but I do think the GFS is going to be way off as it stands currently. The issue I see (and I only care about CT) isn’t a bad antecedent airmass—but the fact that any type of hug or more shredded system—both issues here this season—is going to turn this from exotic to mundane. Speaking as a weenie now—mundane in March, after an historically awful winter here, will not cut it for me. At all. I know others will take what they can get and I respect that. Nothing would please me more than a DC to Portland nuke.

In order to know the true depths of despair, one must first have hope.

Posting here because I don’t want to clog the tracking thread. It hasn’t been this way this winter, but I like being optimistic too. Being negative all the time is no way to live. That said, I feel like I’m watching a train wreck every time I see the excitement build at D7-14 this winter because an exceedingly small number of events have panned out even remotely similar to the long range plots and it’s as if most completely forgot that our background state for whatever reason (I tend to agree with pope about the horrible antecedent airmasses) has led to a near historic level of failure. Temps and snow. Specifically talking about here in CT, not even necessarily my backyard. I get it, and respect it. Every threat and pattern is different, and there are only so many weeks each year we have this chance to meaningfully track. I really do get it. But I’ve hated winter tracking for almost a decade now because people—and I’m speaking collectively, not singling anyone out—really do lose objectivity (and sanity) in a way that does not happen in other seasons. It’s legitimately tough for me to watch, but it’s equally difficult to turn away. I do love the model cinema.

Got a little snow mixing back in and yeah, roads not the best this morning. Even the interstate.

Still pingers here.

To my surprise, we still have pretty heavy sleet here. 32.8/31. NAM ftl. Looks like a mess outside.

Sleet here.

Lighter snow here and temp ticking back up a little.

It’s going pretty good here. Secondary road here just starting to cave.

We got coated pretty quickly on grass. Dropped to 33.8/30

Well I guess I’ll enjoy it while I can. I’m right by the 84/384 interchange.

35/30 with snow. No meaningful accumulation yet.

Good luck, everyone.

Not feeling this one. Went with mostly rain in far S CT, a C-2 zone for most of central CT, and a 1-3 zone in far northern CT. Sleet should be fun for a bit in interior CT.

I honestly don’t have much of a read on the guidance here in CT. I suppose I lean warmer, but I’m not really endorsing either model camp extreme. Very small ticks here are the difference between rain and sleet accumulation.

Wait a minute, we’re punting the GFS to Jupiter because of the 00z HRRR and a yet to be run NAM?

Normally, the demise of winter is a sad time for weenies, but in Connecticut, there will be a New Orleans style celebration. @Cold Miser and @EastonSN+ will be the Grand Marshals, leading the euphoric procession from Bridgeport to New Haven. @Sey-Mour Snow will be one of the pallbearers, wearing a ripped muscle shirt on that warm early April afternoon. I’ll meet them in Hartford and continue on to BDL, casket handle in one hand and boom box in the other. Rev Kev says the final prayer for the lost souls that were patient all the way to the end on the BDL tarmac. We’ll all load the box into the cargo bay of a Spirit Airlines plane and accompany it out into the middle of the Atlantic where we dump the shit just like we have every 7-15 day model run since late December. We will then toast the finality of it all with Zimas and edibles. What a joyful day that will be.

Yep. Been talked about since the start of winter. Need a nuke. Already tired of this sheared crap.

I like that for CT, but I’d probably go higher in NW CT.

Every little bit matters down here. Tough forecast.

If we couldn’t get one until game time for the last event I can’t see how they’d pull the trigger on anything other than an advisory here unless there’s a big shift south at 18z or 00z

That was truly an all timer. Once in a lifetime type impact for a region. It’s a tremendous accomplishment to successfully chase something as dangerous as that.

Right. Game of inches and ticks down here.

Graupel here too. Minor dusting.

Man, 40-60 miles would make a big difference here.