WxWatcher007

Happy birthday Jerry!

EXACTLY But if we fail with this…I don’t even want to think about it

You can book it. Mass weenie casualty event by the Ides of December. The only question is whether destruction comes by a meteor hurled from a random European 12z run or from within as weenies pull knives and hunting rifles on each other in a gradient event.

One of the best things my parents ever did was stop the practice of visiting other family on Thanksgiving and Christmas when I was 13 or 14. It was just us and it’s amazing to wake up and not have to worry about spending the holidays elsewhere. No getting dressed up, no family politics, no fighting over the TV, and no sharing food with others lol. Just immediate family time. I plan to carry on that tradition.

Absolutely

I like the idea of everything stopping. Part of what I dislike about the holiday is feeling forced to visit other places rather than taking the time to just be at home.

We dream the same dream.

Love this. For me it’s: 1. How did I do? 2. What’s the region wide impact? 3. How did the storm perform relative to the synoptic & modeled potential?

Easiest bet one could make lol

Retired. Even if this pattern potential is a crypto level scam.

I think I’d be satisfied with a warning level event and an advisory event—with average to BN temps overall. Around the holiday would be best, but no Grinch would be a win in itself.

I know, right? At the very least, it should feel like December. I've gotten tired of the wall to wall torches during the holiday season.

Which, quite honestly, is exactly what we should want. Not that anyone cares but even up here snow climo is pretty hostile until mid-month. What I love is that we're moving into December with not just a massive and positive pattern change legitimately on the table, it looks to unfold at a time that should enhance what is increasingly favorable climo. Even better, history suggests a strong December block leads to additional blocking during the heart of winter. I think most of us would take a solid to strong six week pattern between Dec 15-Jan 31. As others have said, we should be patient and temper expectations because pattern does NOT necessarily equal production, but I'd much rather be looking at what could be our best December blocking pattern in a decade than some milquetoast 500mb evolution I have to do mental gymnastics with for a non-torch December.

I thought you were Jacob for years

Probably right. I wonder how big an impact we would have seen if this was above water. -1 to -1.5C globally?

Not sure if it has a seasonal forecasting impact but impressive nonetheless

Right. I was saying yesterday looking back at the awful recent years I had a good storm each year.

Nice work @NorthArlington101. I still can’t believe I was there.

Which seems crazy to me because it’s the minor events that cause the most car collisions.

Love me a juiced clipper

I moved back in May 2018. Lived here as a kid though and in Hartford for law school 2010-13.

Yeah 20-21 was good here, though I think my normal is between 40-45”? Two double digit snowfalls, a nice minor Inauguration Day snowfall, and a really beautiful Super Bowl warning level snowfall that year. Going back over my records, even the bad years had at least one nice event.