WxWatcher007

After a quiet start, the basin is starting to heat up with homebrew opportunities. For the first time we have tangible areas to look at close to land. 1. Invest 91L--Bay of Campeche magic is at it again, this time with a developing low taking shape this afternoon. Invest 91L is increasingly likely to become our second named storm of the year--a short lived one as it makes landfall along the Mexico coast on Monday. 2. Gulf/SE Coast--There are growing signals that a trough will get hung up off the Gulf/SE Coast in the coming week, which could spark tropical development. This is a classic way to get early season homebrew off the SE coast or in the northern Gulf, and it's worth watching especially if it ends up in the Gulf. The SST anomalies across the basin are unlike recent years, but in much of the Gulf and off the East Coast, temperatures are very warm.

The haters always said that forecasting was better 30 years ago…they’ll love it when the forecast is for 33 and rain and they wake up to 28 and ZR.

Yeah, pull the politics out of it—this sounds like a classic case of bureaucrats making decisions that don’t work in the real world. How many times have we sat here thinking tropical storm/hurricane X is “about to take off” or “is weakening due to an ERC” or “we need a center fix for the 00z models” only to have MW or recon data blow away our preconceived notions? I mean my goodness. Who wants to try to forecast if a cane off the east coast of Florida is about to undergo RI based on that quality of data below when recon is six hours away?

Yeah about half of microwave imagery is gone as of Monday. It’ll have an immediate forecasting impact.

What? That would be awful.

I'm thinking this is a top 5 heat wave here in CT given the combination of high/low temperatures, humidity, and timing. Going in reverse chronological order June 2025 July 2011 July/August 1995 July 1991 July/August 1975 Edit: I'm thinking July 1911 should be somewhere in there, and if so, I'd probably take out 1995.

New Haven hit 99?

Yeah, it doesn’t seem out of step with the surrounding areas. A little surprised it didn’t get 100 yesterday, but like you said it was literally a degree. Anything can happen when trying to achieve 100 around here.

Just had a bird somehow hit the solar panels on the roof. The other birds went absolutely crazy—they were incredibly loud for a few minutes.

Really? That’s nuts. Not even 2011?

We sad but we know we’re not Vegas or Phoenix. Couldn’t last forever. Some nice 85-90 days around the 4th would be good. Hard to believe but that’s just over a week away. Time flies.

92.5° here at home

88 at New Haven with a heat index of 96. Nuts.

Still 96 here at 7:20

Yeah. Just couldn’t get up to 99.5.

CEF 100 MMK 101 HFD 100 KWXW 100* (99.6 )

MMK 100

Make it happen. Even if we have to get an American flight to buzz the site

Yet to join the club here…but I agree that the high may come between now and about 5pm.

HFD and BDL are close but struggling. So far I’ve peaked at 99.1.

95 here and HFD at noon

Still think synergistic heat is on the table today?

JFK is 96° already lol 92.3° here/92 at HFD

On the board BULLETIN Tropical Storm Andrea Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012025 1100 AM AST Tue Jun 24 2025 ...ANDREA BECOMES THE FIRST TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON IN THE ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.6N 48.9W ABOUT 1205 MI...1940 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB...29.95 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Andrea was located near latitude 36.6 North, longitude 48.9 West. Andrea is moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. Weakening is expected to begin tonight, with Andrea dissipating by Wednesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1014 mb (29.95 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Jelsema/Blake/Hagen

We have Andrea in the subtropics! BULLETIN Tropical Storm Andrea Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012025 1100 AM AST Tue Jun 24 2025 ...ANDREA BECOMES THE FIRST TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON IN THE ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.6N 48.9W ABOUT 1205 MI...1940 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB...29.95 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Andrea was located near latitude 36.6 North, longitude 48.9 West. Andrea is moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. Weakening is expected to begin tonight, with Andrea dissipating by Wednesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1014 mb (29.95 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Jelsema/Blake/Hagen