WxWatcher007

No. Homebrew is the only option for the east coast as MDR season winds down. May have opportunities in before Oct 20.

It would be meh’ed from Hatteras to dissipation

Looks like Nigel with its tractor tire eye will struggle to get to MH status. We're watching a lemon off the SE coast and cherry in the MDR. The MDR is slowing down for the absurd pace of the last four weeks as expected, and my forecast is looking excellent so far. Probably turning to homebrew season now. WxWatcher007 Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 13 (10) Hurricanes: 6 (5) Major Hurricanes: 3 (3) Emily, Franklin (MH), Gert, Harold, Idalia (MH), Jose, Katia, Lee (MH), Margot (H), Nigel (H)

06z GFS had a more consolidated low that tracked offshore, rather than some type of rainy landfall in the Carolinas. The consolidated low is an outlier, but interesting to see.

Love the tractor tire hurricanes. Probably keeps this below MH status too.

This is incredible. I had no idea!

I know I’ve become another Torch Tiger on this subforum, but it’s only fine if it’s not a furnace. We’ve had plenty of precip in recent years but there’s been little to no cold when it matters. Here in the torch lands of CT at least.

My relationship with winter ended ugly last year. More pressing is the Saints giving up 8 to a Panthers offense that couldn’t get a TD for 58 minutes Bad beat.

Went to meh very quickly. Shades of January.

Pouring and we’re just getting started

In the other thread I think. The signal has been there for days.

RI forecast gone wrong. You just never know with these.

Yeah I think maybe a low end subtropical/tropical storm at best? Maybe a larger area of strong winds too with a gradient.

GFS has the homebrew rainer Sunday

Oh you’re going all the way I imagine a tropical home on the coast of Brazil

GFS again with a heavy rain event from the potential homebrew

Well I think last winter fit the climo of Richmond so nobody would be missing much moving south of the Mason-Dixon Line.

I just like the transition. It doesn’t bother me at all because it’ll change back when it’s time. My first thought was that we’ll flip to warm/dry November 15 through April 15th

I may just wait until spring at this point.

.52” so far here

Everything above normal. Impressive.

Lemon off the SE coast now

Love how Kev is now on team @RUNNAWAYICEBERG wishing for COC to spare his seed.

Yeah keeps the heaviest mostly offshore. Still thinking tomorrow is pretty wet. At least an inch here I think.