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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Three months too early. Atmospheric memory setting up though. Congrats @dryslot & @tamarack.
  2. WxWatcher007
  3. WxWatcher007
    October ‘21 was as good as it gets.
  4. WxWatcher007
    Right, you are consistent there The title is the title for a reason.
  5. WxWatcher007
    It was clear from the start this wouldn’t be a significant event for most of the US coast, but I did think there was a legitimate small chance for NE which looks to work out and I do think this’ll be meaningful for Maine/NS. People will always try to force it (see the 5 minute excitement from some about future Nigel), but I also think there’s a tendency to downplay something that’s trackable, especially if the chances are modest or narrowly tailored to a small zone.
  6. WxWatcher007
    Winter preview? I honest to God don’t think it’s going to be any good (again) down here. We await coastal season and first frost. Agree. Memorable to me even though temps were nothing to write home about. Exceptionally wet with multiple legit flash flood events here, and plenty stormy even if nothing was particularly high end other than the supercell that started over my house lol. Tropical close call also stands out, even though it’ll likely be forgettable here.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Region wide is always tough, as you know. They hook east and weaken on approach more often than not.
  8. WxWatcher007
    They steal our snow AND our tropical! High impact event up there and into Nova Scotia. Imby centric forum loses sight of that, but it’s going to be a rough ride for a place that doesn’t usually get this. ‘38 probably wasn’t high end there either because of the northward track.
  9. WxWatcher007
    Why would the NHC have shifted its track dramatically west based on one or two model suites that were west? That’s why they go with continuity—with this stuff it’s better to have multi-day trends incorporated over the suite to suite whiplash. Even if there’s an (increasingly unlikely) move west through tomorrow you wouldn’t feel confident it were real until Friday.
  10. WxWatcher007
    6.09” here since September 8
  11. WxWatcher007
    1.75” now
  12. WxWatcher007
    Yeah, they’re still finding solid FL winds. Probably a generous 110 but I don’t think it’s below 100.
  13. WxWatcher007
    Anthony sitting in the cruiser after a shoplifting collar still praying for any damage he can get
  14. WxWatcher007
    I love this
  15. WxWatcher007
    If I had to guess, it’d be expansive TS watches and a small hurricane watch zone. 34kt at the coast should be easy. Sustained 64kt will be hard, even at the Cape. Won’t be a cane by the time it gets to Maine. Watches up at 5pm Tropical Storm Watch US/Canada border to Provincetown, MA. Hurricane Watch Provincetown to Chatham, including Nantucket. Tropical Storm Watch west of Chatham to Point Judith including Block Island & Martha’s Vineyard.
  16. WxWatcher007
    Agree with you both. The NHC likes continuity and with a larger wind field they also assumed undersampling.
  17. WxWatcher007
    Very expansive 925mb wind field. If that mixes effectively it’s a pretty windy Saturday further west. Overall though pretty similar to 06z and east of that 00z jump. Model run—>Meh/excitement posts—>Quiet in between runs—>Rinse & repeat
  18. WxWatcher007
    It really has. I think it’s made all the more impressive that none of this has been related to a tropical system, like 2021 was.
  19. WxWatcher007
    1.36 so far. HRRR is active again this afternoon.
  20. WxWatcher007
    Good luck. Be safe.
  21. WxWatcher007
    Another .50” in the last ten minutes. Now that’s impressive. .96” total now.
  22. WxWatcher007
    And another .12” in three lol
  23. WxWatcher007
    .46 in 30 minutes
  24. WxWatcher007
    That’s insane.
  25. WxWatcher007
    Inches and inches of sediment. Yard as fertile as the Amazon River basin.
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