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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    I know I am down on winter to the point of annoyance, but there genuinely is nothing like a good winter storm where the posts and pictures are coming in fast and (mostly) everyone is happy. I do hope we get at least one of those this upcoming season. Happy autumn, everyone.
  2. WxWatcher007
    53/50. -RA. Temp shot up as the mix line went from Hoth to Will faster than I think I’ve ever seen. So much for the -.003 NAO holding the line. Not sure why anyone thought this “winter” would be better than the last. More Scooter streaks than a newborn ward this season. Congrats @tamarack.
  3. WxWatcher007
    Gusts to 58 & 64 mph at Lewes, DE.
  4. WxWatcher007
    WxWatcher007 Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 13 (11) Hurricanes: 6 (5) Major Hurricanes: 3 (3) Emily, Franklin (MH), Gert, Harold, Idalia (MH), Jose, Katia, Lee (MH), Margot (H), Nigel (H), Ophelia
  5. WxWatcher007
    Running out of time but lightning and radar velocities are increasing on the western “inner” part of the center.
  6. WxWatcher007
    Seeing a convective burst right at the center again.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Looks more ragged on radar now. We’ll see if it can tighten again.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Watching that too. Want to see if it can fully wrap upshear. If so, that could lead to another convective burst to push it over the top. Even if it doesn’t, the frictional convergence nearing landfall could allow the center to contract and become more symmetrical. HAFS A & B show this right at landfall.
  9. WxWatcher007
    Euro and GFS are night and day for something barely 12 hours out
  10. WxWatcher007
    It was pretty special. Best sunset is still as Dorian was approaching NC. Never seen anything like it before or since. Edit: this is also from last week lol
  11. WxWatcher007
    Tropics sunsets are the best. This is from Lee last week.
  12. WxWatcher007
    Hurricane watch up for NC coastline
  13. WxWatcher007
    This is looking really interesting…
  14. WxWatcher007
    Probably need hurricane watches maybe even warnings up for part of NC given the recon data.
  15. WxWatcher007
    These are some fast extrapolated pressure falls. 984.6mb down from 986.8 at last pass.
  16. WxWatcher007
    Really nice animation of the center starting to become covered by convection as it crosses the Gulf Stream. Definitely looking more tropical and likely continuing to intensify.
  17. WxWatcher007
    My fault, I see it now. Thanks.
  18. WxWatcher007
    That was at 925mb. The surface reading was at 58kt. The extrapolated pressure falls between passes is pretty good.
  19. WxWatcher007
    AMEN Homebrew is homebrew for a reason. I think he is disappointed this could become a hurricane without an Ian like eyewall lol. Appreciate the updates as I’m mostly mobile right now.
  20. WxWatcher007
    Recon is a little more impressive than I thought it’d be.
  21. WxWatcher007
    I’d need to see a little more sampling, but this one does look close to hurricane strength per recon…
  22. WxWatcher007
    I’m trying to hold off on using heat. At least until October.
  23. WxWatcher007
    I can imagine the complaining and meh’ing with this one
  24. WxWatcher007
  25. WxWatcher007
    Uninstalled yesterday. It was time.
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