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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Probability matched mean
  2. WxWatcher007
    Both the 48hr mean and PMM are ugly.
  3. WxWatcher007
    Agree but how big is big. I can see an upward bound of 5-7? If places are going above that it’ll get really ugly, especially if that’s over the big September rain zone.
  4. WxWatcher007
    Things only said in the fall lol
  5. WxWatcher007
    In striking distance of topping July. Sitting at 10.59” for the month currently. I kind of think high res is over amped, but a solid 1-3 over the region seems reasonable to me.
  6. WxWatcher007
    45? 2020 was solid. My expectations are just zero between time in DC and returning to this streak of well BN snow.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Love ya but I hear it every year and last winter I finished with 13.7”. I’ll believe it’s not a bad winter when I hit climo. 30.0, 15.6, 44.4, 28.8, 13.7
  8. WxWatcher007
    It’s an excellent setup for big rains. Guessing we see a WPC mod risk at some point.
  9. WxWatcher007
    The lemon developed. Unclear what the next opportunity for TC genesis is but I think this is probably it for MDR systems. Once Philippe and Rina separate, one of them may thrive for a bit. 13 NS since Aug 20 is a record. WxWatcher007 Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 13 (13) Hurricanes: 6 (5) Major Hurricanes: 3 (3) Emily, Franklin (MH), Gert, Harold, Idalia (MH), Jose, Katia, Lee (MH), Margot (H), Nigel (H), Ophelia, Philippe, Rina
  10. WxWatcher007
    Sorry for your loss.
  11. WxWatcher007
    Someone is going to get smoked. What a tremendous period for hydro.
  12. WxWatcher007
    Fall has been here. A warm period doesn’t change that.
  13. WxWatcher007
    That would make my September wetter than my July…in a more compressed time frame (my first September precip occurred on Sept 8) I tried mowing my backyard today and it was a cranberry bog.
  14. WxWatcher007
    Low of 40.3°
  15. WxWatcher007
    Coldest low tonight since May here?
  16. WxWatcher007
    Honestly, I just want a more normal season. Nothing has been normal lately.
  17. WxWatcher007
    Just raze every town and forest to my NW and build a heated Great Lake.
  18. WxWatcher007
    In a slot. 2.31” today and 2.80” overall.
  19. WxWatcher007
    I’m sure that’s part of it (because it takes a lot of work to clean thousands of catch basins) but there were a number of legit torrential rain events that would have caused flash flooding regardless.
  20. WxWatcher007
    The temp has dropped here over the course of the morning 54.8° 2.13” since midnight
  21. WxWatcher007
    Models have been so bad with this. Just look at the 06z NAM 1.74” since midnight. 2.23” overall. Looks like NW Mass getting it good too. Need this kind of production in winter.
  22. WxWatcher007
    This is one of those times I need to see it to believe it. Should be able to get to .75” overall I think. At .37” today and .06 yesterday.
  23. WxWatcher007
    Jinxed it
  24. WxWatcher007
    .25” on the day with the first heavier stuff coming in soon. .06” yesterday.
  25. WxWatcher007
    So glad to see the drought relieved a bit for so many.
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