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bristolri_wx

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Everything posted by bristolri_wx

  1. bristolri_wx
  2. bristolri_wx
    Yeah I was scratching my head reading that and wondering if I was confused, lol…
  3. bristolri_wx
    May not look like Christmas, but it damn sure feels like it outside. Merry Christmas everyone!!
  4. bristolri_wx
    Winds noticeably picking up here. Not a fan of this particular output for the morning...
  5. bristolri_wx
  6. bristolri_wx
    I would defer to the hi-res models to see if a snow squall line actually makes it through. Earlier this morning, only the RGEM showed it, all the US hi-res models (NAM 3K, HRRR, FV3) showed a squall line that was rain-only except for the highest elevations up north.
  7. bristolri_wx
    We are 67 pages in for a storm with not much (if any) snow for us but from a purely interesting weather perspective this has been an entertaining one to track and discuss. Maybe we get a Christmas miracle inch on the back side as that hell of a cold front comes through. Not often that Arctic air moves into our area from the southwest so there might still be some surprises at the end of this storm. High gusts still on the table in the coastal plain as well. Stay tuned!!
  8. bristolri_wx
    Wow, those 925mb maps on Pivotal look a little crazy. No guarantee that 925 winds mix down to the surface, but I'm looking at almost 36 hrs of 50kt+ winds at my location so lots of opportunities for high gusts. EDIT: The wind gust maps on weather.us are not encouraging either. What a mess...
  9. bristolri_wx
    Look at the temps at the same frame. 10 degrees in Nashville while it's 60 in Providence. Still not to far away from a solution where we might get an inch or two as the front comes through. Just need that squall line to hold up. Christmas Eve and Christmas Day look COLD.
  10. bristolri_wx
    First time in weeks I had some time to watch the Pats - caught last five minutes. Terrible.
  11. bristolri_wx
    That little tropical low has been there last few runs lol…
  12. bristolri_wx
    I dunno, not sure what the problem is. We are still going to be getting impactful weather from a powerful storm during the timeframe mentioned. Just not a big snow storm for most. This thread served a purpose, discussion of one developing storm.
  13. bristolri_wx
    OEM tires are usually garbage. Treadlife is usually 45k to get them through a three year lease. I highly recommend these: https://www.michelinman.com/auto/tires/michelin-defender-ltx-m-s Have these on my CR-V and RAV4. Good all season tire especially for winter and long tread life as long as you rotate regularly.
  14. bristolri_wx
    Yeah that could blow at some point. More likely at high speeds or in warmer weather. You should replace that tire ASAP IMO for you and your vehicles safety.
  15. bristolri_wx
    Sorry, call me an optimist but this is all I can think in my head after reading this forum the last few days: Maybe Winter 22-23 will turn out to be a turd, but we have had several good to great winters that started with shitty Decembers and grinch storms right before Christmas. Can’t give up on things less than a third of the way through.
  16. bristolri_wx
  17. bristolri_wx
    It’s a volatile pattern for the model accuracy in the medium to long range. Things don’t look good but I wouldn’t give up for another 48 hours or so if your hope is for a colder snowier outcomes.
  18. bristolri_wx
    Down in the coastal plain It was always forecasted as rain So there was no pain When the snow Did not show.
  19. bristolri_wx
  20. bristolri_wx
    Personally I look at it on TT and Pivotal, but I don’t think it has a lot of weight on its own. I believe the biggest use case for many of the WRF based models are being part of the SREF and HREF ensemble forecast packages. I’m sure there are mets here who have more facts to back that up than I do.
  21. bristolri_wx
    https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/docs/NCEP_PDD_MAG.pdf
  22. bristolri_wx
    Are people still pissed about the recent GFS upgrade?
  23. bristolri_wx
    Bing Crosby has entered that chat.
  24. bristolri_wx
    I weenied you for that post only because I can’t weenie myself for being excited about that map lol!
  25. bristolri_wx
    You end up a meteorologist? This is why support systems are in place, to keep our world safe from this result.
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