Noticed some reporters are still at 0.00
@Torch Tiger, @moneypitmike, @CoastalWx, @40/70 Benchmark, @HoarfrostHubb, @SouthCoastMA let me know if there are problems with using your submission form (if that's what's preventing the reporting).
The NAM has been having trouble with this one. There are always a few storms every season where the NAM is totally out to lunch even when close to the start time. Hard to discount the GFS+Euro+HRRR all looking very similar overall...
Biggest issue in coastal plain may be surface temps. It may be snowing but might be tough to accumulate, especially during the daytime hours. NAM 3K soundings show 33/35 right at the surface though its colder throughout the rest of the column. If we can get it a pinch colder then maybe we can sneak in an extra inch or so.
You don’t even really need a map for the forecast:
Coating to an inch: S/E I-95
1-3”: N/W of I-95 to I-90
2-4” I-90 N to NH/VT/ME Mountains
3-5”+ NNE mountains
Probably won’t be model agreement until tomorrow, as again northern stream energy is windshield wipered on the models every time a reindeer farts in the wind.
It might snow near Christmas. Expect disappointment and be pleasantly surprised if it does. Happy holidays!
(To the tune of “Silver and Gold” by Burl Ives)
“Inverted trough, inverted trough.
Everyone wishes for inverted troughs.
How does one measure its worth?
Another 3-6” of snow on the earth.”
Models were a pinch overdone here all the heavier AM snow bands stayed south and east. 1.75” final tally. Oh so close to being closer to 3-6” band by 25-50 miles…
WWA expanded a little. The box probability maps indicate theres a higher ceiling than floor on this one in relation to the current predicted amounts...
Did the person who does snowfall map ranges at BOX get shit-canned during the shut down? The ranges are noticably odd this year. Never saw 0" for the low range in the past with any number other than 1" as the top end of that range. Usually it was shown as < 1".Still appreciate the maps are published but it just makes my brain hurt to see things like 1-6"...