bristolri_wx

73/70 here after a high of 82. With this humidity it could have been much worse. Nice summer day, light breeze for most of the afternoon…

We can agree on getting some summer tstorms, we need the rain. If it’s going to be a HHH weekday, we should finish the day out with some downpours for the lawns and gardens.

They make medicine for that. Try CVS…

Has eastern MA ever been a place where there have been a lot of thunderstorm? Marine influence tends to modify most stuff that moves in from the West and Northwest directions. I agree things have been drier but it doesn't seem like we are getting less thunderstorms than in the past, I feel like that's always been an interior New England thing, though I'm in E RI and not in E MA...

I guess. I will agree it doesn't take much to increase dewpoints. Models do take climo into effect...

I believe there is data that points to that. Especially with overnight lows and dewpoints...

The average dewpoint for July/August for most parts of SNE is between 61-64 degrees. AN dewpoints (upper 60's/low 70's) on Tuesday, Wednesday of this week, then next Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday of next week. Otherwise average to below average dewpoints. Run the Euro and take a look. GFS similar. Still looks like above normal temps most of the time, with warm downs to average in between. Also looks dry like you said, except for a couple of days where t-storms are possible. This isn't a hot vs cold thing, its a discussing the forecast thing...

The Euro weeklies don't support an overall cooler look if you want to go long term. Mostly AN with some short stretches of Normal. Every 7 day anomaly is AN for the entire month... That being said also no 100+ degree heat on the horizon either... for now...

That looks terrible for July 4th. Not how you want to have cooler temps, if that's what you want. People like to be outside and have fun on July 4th, not worry about showers and tstorms most of the day...

Mostly Sunny 86/73 here. @Damage In Tolland if you are looking for your dewpoints, we have them here for the moment. Take a drive east for dinner and a free concert at RWU. https://www.fourthofjulybristolri.com/concert-series-line-up

Yeah not much below average temps in sight. Warm early this week, then down to normal, back up next week. GFS and Euro ensembles diverge after that, with the GFS being above normal and the Euro closer to normal temps. Also not consistently humid the entire time. A nice summer stretch.

Hot take, AMWX exclusive: I’ve been doing a lot of research. Long term models, ensembles. ENSO, PDO, NAO, AO setup, etc and come up with the following. I expect we will have 3 months of summer, followed by 3 months of autumn. Going out farther, I expect 3 months of winter followed by 3 months of spring. I will be posting this forecast to social media shortly.

The dews are back… 71/69 here. Noticeable while doing some work outside.

I’ve got a lot of very tiny red insects or maybe larvae the size of a pinhead stuck to the leaves of my maple trees. Any thoughts of what they are? Can post a photo later if needed. Looked via google and there were many different answers, and not sure what geographic areas the answers were coming from…

This has been in the works for a while… it would have happened sooner if the FV3 based models had better verification data.

Also known as average.

July 3/4 look great! Low to mid 80’s, tolerable dewpoints. Bring it!

RRFS is also on Pivotal but not on Tropical Tidbits yet…

Is HREF in production? I thought the SREF is what is considered official, while the HREF is considered experimental/testing... NEVERMIND - @OceanStWx answered the questions :-)

NBM temps and dew points next 9.5 days…

Sunday and Tuesday look humid. The remainder of the week is low to mid 60’s for dew points.

Looks like average temps over the weekend. Then +5/+10 stuff into next week. Average high temps are 75 to 80 for most of Southern New England last week of June…