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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. How and when were January and February ever not the top two? Outside of random years I guess
  2. I didn't like it verbatim, even at 12z. Leaving some room for this to dig further south, but not holding my breath for additional positive trends. Just watching
  3. On that point, the last 5 years have been so bad that we might actually do well relative to that span over the next 5, despite the overall decline over the long term. We shall see
  4. Yeah I agree the early part of this winter likely won't be representative of the trends documented.
  5. shield your eyes, it's hideous https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/13/12/246
  6. Wish we had a bit more downstream ridging but let's see if it can dig more and phase a bit earlier. It becomes a nuke south of Nova Scotia
  7. Oh how we pray that something akin to the 6z OP GFS pans out in the 12/15-12/21 timeframe.
  8. Nice pre-empt for melts just in time for the upcoming pattern to fail. Well done.
  9. Don't sleep on 12/8 yet? Long shot, but vort has trended a bit sharper/further south over New England on 6z GFS/Euro.. Remains progressive but maybe some can score an inch or two.
  10. I lived in Acushnet at the time and had 7" or 8". Just south of me along 195 got near a foot. Messenger in Manomet did well too iirc
  11. yeah that was such a blue baller. crazy that 3 weeks later was the SOTC, and my first memory of whiteout conditions.
  12. I remember that one. flurries/dusting here, and an angry weenie was born
  13. ccb or maybe just ocean enhanced? the big ones always end up with those stat padding streamers..ala 2005 and 2015
  14. My favorite inv trough is prob March 2013 (or 14?)..but honestly can't remember any notable ones since down this way
  15. The CMC OP was brutally cold at Day 9, opposite of the GFS. Curious what the GEPS showed
  16. Clipper through Stowe then a warmup on the GFS OP. Let's trend that south a bit. CMC looks different but it's all a crapshoot
  17. Don't read Tip's post for your own sanity. Unfortunately, makes too much sense.
  18. I went back starting at the 12z run on 11/27..and the Euro actually was pretty close with the track. However, thermals and storm intensity, especially between 11/28-11/30 were way off. Not sure why it would do well with the track and suck at everything else. Going to be a fun winter.
  19. I was tempted to post about it, but you have it covered. I'll just pretend I didn't see that abomination and look again tomorrow.
  20. I would easily trade any snow before 12/21 if it meant we get some snow around the holidays. I usually punt most of December, especially after the last several years. Its all about the SST's here, unless you have a frigid antecedent airmass in place or a perfect thread the needle situation.
  21. The ensembles have a pretty strong signal on Day 9/10. Whether that pans out positively for SNE is the WinterWolf question of the day. We just don't know.
  22. Best chance seems to be a redeveloping clipper around 12/11..but far to go on that one. Then hopefully we are looking at a few more chances post 12/18 after the huge cutter/warmup mid month. Better then than on 12/24, but never a good idea to rule out a grincher.
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