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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. I thought it was a tick warmer here at onset, but not sure if it was just a timing issue, i.e slower . most likely noise
  2. Euro looks good here but may start wet or waste some qpf before it goes to town. Cant really complain since this would be the first notable storm in over 2 years.
  3. much better than 12z from a region wide perspective. though still slightly north of the current euro/gfs
  4. The 18z ICON has stronger confluence so far, but that 12z run was zonked so no surprise EDIT; Still pretty zonked lol.
  5. Hes currently sitting quietly, high on his picnic table perch, looking down at the SOP peeps, wiggling his fingers together like Mr Burns
  6. For the longest time, I thought the Phil references were about that Cape Cod met that used to post here. I wish he still did, because he knew his shit
  7. Ah 2013, aka the Pine Pummeler. Pretty epic along the South Coast/Shore in that regard
  8. Yeah the GFS had some redeveloper/Miller B vibes at 12z. At the least, we have some threats starting to show on models
  9. Not calling it for this storm, but we've seen the confluence trend weaker in models as we get closer in..in a few storms this year. Just something to watch
  10. Maybe this can trend to a 1/21/12 type storm if confluence trends stronger but yeah I still expect this to move north in the final 96 hours
  11. If the rest of the winter sucks I'm placing 100% of the blame on Moonshine Productions and Astronomy dude, and I will fully endorse their bans.
  12. These southern stream systems usually trend north..nothing should be surprising with todays current runs. Maybe confluence trends stronger, but I'm not counting on it.
  13. Let's do this again. This area ended up over 30" I believe. I remember someone reported higher than that but it was removed from the PNS so probably bunk. name it
  14. 1/4" today from OES. enough to whiten things up at least
  15. the worst boob storm I remember was either last year or the year before. The one where the saggy left appendage rode straight into CT and killed everyone's BL. would've been a big storm iirc
  16. coming down moderately in this snow shower. we'll see if it accumulates but my guess is it won't last long enough 32.7 °F
  17. ridge axis a bit further east along the west coast as well
  18. Yeah still ways this can work..just need that thing called Luck Granted..speaking strictly of snow threats. Safe to lock in cutters past day 5 this year
  19. when do we have more than zero confidence past 5 days? it's a crapshoot but just something to track at least
  20. I'd sign up for something like the Euro OP has - 970mb SE of the benchmark And agreed that there are plenty of interesting ensemble members to not keep an eye on it
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