Euro looks good here but may start wet or waste some qpf before it goes to town. Cant really complain since this would be the first notable storm in over 2 years.
Not calling it for this storm, but we've seen the confluence trend weaker in models as we get closer in..in a few storms this year. Just something to watch
These southern stream systems usually trend north..nothing should be surprising with todays current runs. Maybe confluence trends stronger, but I'm not counting on it.
Let's do this again. This area ended up over 30" I believe. I remember someone reported higher than that but it was removed from the PNS so probably bunk. name it
the worst boob storm I remember was either last year or the year before. The one where the saggy left appendage rode straight into CT and killed everyone's BL. would've been a big storm iirc
Yeah still ways this can work..just need that thing called Luck
Granted..speaking strictly of snow threats. Safe to lock in cutters past day 5 this year
I'd sign up for something like the Euro OP has - 970mb SE of the benchmark
And agreed that there are plenty of interesting ensemble members to not keep an eye on it