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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. Let's keep the track position, but strengthen the center. Get this under 990 or 988, as it passes east of us
  2. I think it's going to be a pasty couple inches..which id take.
  3. Haven't looked at 925 temps but euro prefip algo showed rain for a good chunk, here
  4. EPS improved a bit. maybe 2-3" if it's cold enough on Cape. 1-2" Boston SE
  5. the EC-AI was about a 40-50 mile jog east, but actually not too different than its 18z/0z/6z runs from yesterday/today. 0z will be telling but its clear it won't head back in the other direction (west).
  6. where are my 6hr and 12hr GFS updates on whether the big dawg is coming/or not.
  7. a closer version of ass. getting the ready for the 18z AI vs OP battle
  8. Remember the storm modeled on or around 3/17/17 that was showing 12"+ for a good part of New England, then completely evaporated? I think it was withing 48-72..I know not the same idea but that was a pretty drastic change.
  9. Temps are marginal along coast so increase in vort strength is preferred to promote heavier precip.
  10. MPM is safe for now. I worry about him in Mattapoisett
  11. I'd take that. we'd all clean up, any sort of westerly component
  12. Not to cause confusion..but thought trough was a bit flatter at 48h
  13. Yeah if its raining outside here, I can live vicariously through the Pats game.
  14. RGEM is warm here..rain ending as 1-2". woof NAM/ICON are the two models you'd want to be eastern outliers at least.
  15. Many spooked by the NAM, and jaded by the recent years. I get it, but it holds little wait until we see the others start doing the same.
  16. Goalposts are set. NAM east, RGEM/AI's most amped. Euro/GFS kinda inbetween
  17. Meh. One model model outside of its range. Need to see that with RGEM/GFS to make anything of it. Though technically the RGEM is still outside its range too. Gotta see the whole 12z suite including AI models.
  18. Most likely..6z looked a little warmish at the start but this is going to waffle a bit until go time I think
  19. Temps do look kinda borderline here. Better not fn rain after all this. Let's get the system a bit stronger for heavier rates
  20. always room for a messenger shuffle in final 36 hours.
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