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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. SouthCoastMA
    The EURO seems to be focusing on a 3rd low north of the Hatteras and Bahamian lows, that gets most of the moisture up here. The holy trinity.
  2. SouthCoastMA
    You'd think the Euro would have the better capacity to handle this type of complicated interaction. Unless it's glue again
  3. SouthCoastMA
    That's going to be there. The question is how far can it slingshot up to affect parts of SNE. Looked in better position based on higher heights and trough orientation. we'll see
  4. SouthCoastMA
    NAM looked decent at 48h..but extrapolating this model past that is asking for trouble.
  5. SouthCoastMA
    stuck with in hand out in arctic cold?
  6. SouthCoastMA
    I'm not sure. But if one were to only look at the Euro OP runs for 1/27 12z, 1/28 0z, 1/28 12z, and 1/29 0z..one would think it's coming/trending closer.
  7. SouthCoastMA
    I agree, to an extent. Most models are still well within margin of error to make a bigger impact. If the Euro has any clue, a couple more get on board at 12z. I think we'll have a better idea by 0z tonight. I think it's a lower probability, obviously.
  8. SouthCoastMA
    I'm just surprised the Euro still has warming criteria here. I guess id expect 12z to cave further unless the other models come back.
  9. SouthCoastMA
    No reports about 6z euro yet. must be worse
  10. SouthCoastMA
    So the ICON schooled the Euro after all, if this holds. shrug. Still so close to something bigger here..we wait for 12z
  11. SouthCoastMA
    Looked slightly better vs 18z. more tilted and ready to slingshot
  12. SouthCoastMA
    I'd be more willing to toss the Euro OP if the EPS didn't make such a big shift. Could still be zonked a bit too much, and wouldn't be shocked to see 0z take a small step back.
  13. SouthCoastMA
    Its hard to imagine the ICON schooling the Euro/EPS at 90 hours. So there's that
  14. SouthCoastMA
    I was hoping that would, despite the Euro.
  15. SouthCoastMA
    ass on those runs. close to complete whiff
  16. SouthCoastMA
    The ICON should be better, but almost had to be.
  17. SouthCoastMA
    It also has that barbell low way out east, further east than 12z. Not sure what that ultimately means, extrapolated. Boob lows are fun.
  18. SouthCoastMA
    2/10/87, but chance to spread the wealth further inland. Don't punt yet
  19. SouthCoastMA
    Looked better than 0z to me, for most.
  20. SouthCoastMA
    Could be missing something but 12z Euro looked like 12"+ here. Pivotal could also be screwy
  21. SouthCoastMA
    EPS is still 1" of liquid to canal. maybe 15 miles shift se vs 0z. I didn't look at 6z
  22. SouthCoastMA
    Ai tick SE
  23. SouthCoastMA
    That was a massive blue ball. IIRC it was a sub 960mb behemoth east of benchmark, which got the outer cape/ACK into warning criteria
  24. SouthCoastMA
    To keep it simple, the the takeaway for me is the 12z EPS/Euro were a slight improvement over 6z. If it trends in opposite direction again for 18z/0z - then I'll start to be concerned about a true whiff. I'm also on the Cape, so theres that.
  25. SouthCoastMA
    Sound effect flurries?
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