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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. I hope to experience a 96, 05, or 15 again. Though 05 is probably a 1 in a 100 year type season
  2. started at 22, now I'm 42. Crazy its been 20 years on these boards, even though I always felt like a newbie.
  3. Lets just get it close enough for some flakes during gametime
  4. ECMWF-AI looks better at 12z. lol At least, it throws back some more precip. Based on all the expert analysis in this thread, not buying it yet.
  5. Yikes.. well the AIs will be exposed this storm if they cave. They may need some more time.
  6. GFS OP is now the eastern outlier, slightly moreso than the Euro OP.
  7. The one big red flag is the EPS has been pretty steadfast for the past 3-4 runs of being mostly a miss. Need to see that change at 12z
  8. Gun to head, this trends slightly better at 12z giving EMA low end advisory. Speaking of GFS/Euro suite
  9. Euro is still 1-3" here. It had nada 12z yesterday. Still some room for this to inch a bit closer, given the AI guidance. I think some were subsconsciously locking in the big GFS runs.
  10. I still think a moderate event is possible. Big hits are gone though. Let's hope the AIs continue to stand pat
  11. EPS are so flat at 18z, gotta think those trend west at 0z given the other guidance
  12. That was a good move by the Euro. the outliers from 12z have moved towards each other at 18z
  13. I thought it looked slightly east, but not much difference
  14. For as much as I'd love that to verify, yes. For now at least with 0 support.
  15. Then you read wrong. Its not one or the other, but possibly a compromise. See the Euro AI/GFS AI/GEFS. I wouldn't put my eggs in either the GFS OP or Euro OP runs at 12z.
  16. About as predictable as the sun rising. I would have taken slight improvement but of course it goes in the other direction
  17. GFSed again.. definitely the most amped out of all heavy rain to heavy snow here
  18. Yeah you are probably right. Maybe a few dumb ones who are not dormant
  19. might kill some ticks..other than that I can't think of anything
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