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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. The Euro seemed to have zero ridging behind the Fri/Saturday system, so everything slides ENE. It did look kind strange, being so flat and no other model is showing that. The CMC has a good amount of ridging, helping to amplify it much closer to the coast. The AIFS was somewhere in between. The 12z GEFS were actually pretty flat too. Eh, we'll know a lot more where things are trending 24 hours from now
  2. The Euro/EPS have struggled mightily in the past month, even within 48 hours. So in my view it's unusable, especially in the mid range, until they fix whatever is wrong with it. I'm putting much more weight onto the EURO AIFS.
  3. Looked like it would be early on..but didn't occlude down there. NJ gets slammed along with SNE
  4. Saturday looks kinda warm here, but CMC would work.
  5. it's had it off an on for 2-3 days..with a few grazes mixed in
  6. Divide by 3 on those maps. I'd take an inch, this is all a bonus if we can score either Saturday or Monday
  7. Yeah, can't trust those PE guys. Hopefully it won't be but they're all the rage nowadays.
  8. Nah once we get new owners its balls to the wall spending again.
  9. bingo. AI also screwed up the date. The run shows as 12z Feb 16 2126, so 100 years from now
  10. All it takes is a depicted bomb on guidance within 6-7 days for some to turn on each other and show their true colors. Let's go!
  11. When you don't seem 110% enthused and are instead modestIy enthused, I know it's a crap solution for 90% of the forum
  12. I deleted my ad hoc math because it didn't make sense. If records were kept over a longer time..it would probably smooth out to an even distribution.
  13. The Feb 1st miss you could say was a coastal..but still kinda a strung out mess with dual lows / convection chasing
  14. I never understood the agenda posters who have to spin. seems exhausting
  15. AIFS seems like it was most correct over mid range..although slightly over zealous at times
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