I'd be more willing to toss the Euro OP if the EPS didn't make such a big shift. Could still be zonked a bit too much, and wouldn't be shocked to see 0z take a small step back.
To keep it simple, the the takeaway for me is the 12z EPS/Euro were a slight improvement over 6z. If it trends in opposite direction again for 18z/0z - then I'll start to be concerned about a true whiff. I'm also on the Cape, so theres that.
I never understood those who punt 5 days out on storms that aren't far off from being huge. gotta be some sort of coping/defense mechanism. Let it play out a bit more