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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. SouthCoastMA
    Many spooked by the NAM, and jaded by the recent years. I get it, but it holds little wait until we see the others start doing the same.
  2. SouthCoastMA
    Goalposts are set. NAM east, RGEM/AI's most amped. Euro/GFS kinda inbetween
  3. SouthCoastMA
    Meh. One model model outside of its range. Need to see that with RGEM/GFS to make anything of it. Though technically the RGEM is still outside its range too. Gotta see the whole 12z suite including AI models.
  4. SouthCoastMA
    Most likely..6z looked a little warmish at the start but this is going to waffle a bit until go time I think
  5. SouthCoastMA
    Temps do look kinda borderline here. Better not fn rain after all this. Let's get the system a bit stronger for heavier rates
  6. SouthCoastMA
    always room for a messenger shuffle in final 36 hours.
  7. SouthCoastMA
    Not worried about it
  8. SouthCoastMA
    RGEM looks decent at 48hr
  9. SouthCoastMA
    I hope to experience a 96, 05, or 15 again. Though 05 is probably a 1 in a 100 year type season
  10. SouthCoastMA
    started at 22, now I'm 42. Crazy its been 20 years on these boards, even though I always felt like a newbie.
  11. SouthCoastMA
    Lets just get it close enough for some flakes during gametime
  12. SouthCoastMA
    ECMWF-AI looks better at 12z. lol At least, it throws back some more precip. Based on all the expert analysis in this thread, not buying it yet.
  13. SouthCoastMA
    Yikes.. well the AIs will be exposed this storm if they cave. They may need some more time.
  14. SouthCoastMA
    GFS OP is now the eastern outlier, slightly moreso than the Euro OP.
  15. SouthCoastMA
    The one big red flag is the EPS has been pretty steadfast for the past 3-4 runs of being mostly a miss. Need to see that change at 12z
  16. SouthCoastMA
    Gun to head, this trends slightly better at 12z giving EMA low end advisory. Speaking of GFS/Euro suite
  17. SouthCoastMA
    Euro is still 1-3" here. It had nada 12z yesterday. Still some room for this to inch a bit closer, given the AI guidance. I think some were subsconsciously locking in the big GFS runs.
  18. SouthCoastMA
    I still think a moderate event is possible. Big hits are gone though. Let's hope the AIs continue to stand pat
  19. SouthCoastMA
    EPS are so flat at 18z, gotta think those trend west at 0z given the other guidance
  20. SouthCoastMA
    That was a good move by the Euro. the outliers from 12z have moved towards each other at 18z
  21. SouthCoastMA
    I thought it looked slightly east, but not much difference
  22. SouthCoastMA
    18Z AIGFS actually looks slightly better than 12z
  23. SouthCoastMA
    For as much as I'd love that to verify, yes. For now at least with 0 support.
  24. SouthCoastMA
    Then you read wrong. Its not one or the other, but possibly a compromise. See the Euro AI/GFS AI/GEFS. I wouldn't put my eggs in either the GFS OP or Euro OP runs at 12z.
  25. SouthCoastMA
    Highly doubt it. enjoy your C-1" Saturday.
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