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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. The Canadian ensembles might be the northern outliers now, while the EPS did a sharper cave back to consensus.
  2. Yes, I don't think there is any one model that is currently more superior to the others, enough to trust on an island. Maybe the AI ones get there at some point. I'm just glad the Euro pulled the rug cleanly at 12z, rather than stringing some along painfully like late January.
  3. I get the game. It a high reward/low risk gamble he's playing..but imagine it does comes back. To him, its worth the glory in the face of all the naysayers.
  4. What's your season ranking at the stake? I remember at one point in early winter it was #1
  5. The question is, when its 40.2° on April 28th - will I look back on the Winter and say "it was all worth it". I want at least one more decent storm, and get to 50".
  6. 9 hours ago you were showing your baby the Euro, like a proud papa. What happened.
  7. UKMET looks slightly better, but still offshore. Going to need to see some other models come more on board at 18z/0z or the Euro is likely toast. The EuroAI may be telling in a few minutes.
  8. GFS looks slightly better in the nstream..but the southern stream is slower so it's a disjointed mess
  9. I think Dendite mentioned this earlier. 6z Euro has that northern stream vortex basically slide due east through central Quebec, whereas 0z had it about 500 miles further SE diving through Eastern Maine. That was a huge difference, though a lot of the models are all over the place with that feature.
  10. 6-8" pack still here and about 16 Days straight with at least that much. Gotta be approaching some sort of record for this area.
  11. Euro doing a lot of sniffin lately. Hopefully this time it's the OG stuff from the early/mid 2010s.
  12. It needs this one. It's been a rough 3 weeks.
  13. 10"+ of this stuff would bring down the grid. Love this type of snow
  14. Ideally for me we get a region wide foot, then enjoy a mildup afterwards, before additional chances late month.
  15. I'd take a super dynamic storm, as anything less is crap here with that marginal airmass. I'd like to see more NStream involvement at 12z
  16. about a 1/2" of snow covered slush remaining..so I'm guessing we had 1" overnight before the melting
  17. Temps are probably more of an issue than track anyway. about as thread the needle as you can get.
  18. Ah..ya I mean there's a small chance. But I wouldn't be excited about anything attm.
  19. 12z GEPS are also kind amped, which I hadn't looked at. Still much doubt on this one until more OPs get on the board, and the AIs.
  20. We've recently seen the EPS be on in island in the 96-120 hr range, and it didn't end up well.
  21. I'd take whatever the CMC is advertising for Saturday:
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