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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. still a chance the invt trough swings through EMA. ain't over til it's over
  2. ultimate final boss nut punch is the followup cutter after the whiff to Bermuda
  3. Well, I'm willing to wait to see the other 12z models..but it's not much worse than the other models, if at all.
  4. You can see the block and 50/50 low pressing further south this run. Not what you want at this stage
  5. how bad is the FV3 Hi-Res? shows some promise here for christmas eve and maybe on Christmas Day for some scattered snow showers along East coastal mass
  6. Yeah that looked juicer..the trajectory looks set..we just need that shortwave to start out a bit more north than currently modeled. Though I suppose the trajectory could also shift if the blocking relaxes somewhat. What we don't want to see is a continued trend to suppress..but as it stands it's not too far off from something better in SNE
  7. not really worried about this one. doesn't look like much even if it creeps north. 1-3, 2-4" type system?
  8. CJ for EMA with Saturday's storm? looks like cold ll easterly/northeasterly flow with system going south of us.
  9. I think this will slowly inch north. possible the models are exaggerating the strength of blocking around Iceland and 50/50 low. You wouldnt need much compensation for this to hit New England
  10. Spend the winter in Mattapoisett, it will build your mettle.
  11. Euro tries to finger me an inch on Christmas eve like the GFS. Would be nice
  12. I didn't see that on the 12z GFS, comparing to 6z. looked closer to downeast on inverted trough, and further north for Saturdays storm.
  13. This trough is going to flop around on the models like Lebron until Tuesday
  14. The 12z GFS Doug Fluties EMA on Christmas eve Day with the invt trough
  15. Hail Mary here would be to get 1" via the sagging inverted trough on Christmas Eve.
  16. 6z euro still had the invt trough glazing the cape. Downeast Maine gets slaughtered with it
  17. assumed you were within the 1" shade. next run will be different anyway
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