Yeah, its frigid to start. The floor for this storm is super high. The mix discussion is only relevant for those who want to maximize any snowfall from redevelopment. and mainly in SE sections.
I never understood those 50-75 miles north of me worrying about it. As of now, its purely a concern right along the coast/cape. Still a good hit regardless.
At worst 95% of your precip will be snow. I have a bit more to worry about after the initial thump. Euro still looks decent despite changing over.
All bets are off if the trend to keep the primary stronger and further north persists
Southern areas will want the north trend with the primary to stop to maximize totals with any secondary development. Otherwise it's a flip to rain and dryslot after the good thump. GFS on the other hand is great, though little confidence it's correct
I'm not really worried about the initial low, but rather any redevelopment being over our heads. I'd like to see that phased 500 evolution drag more east or south vs over our heads.
Not a big fan of the 500 low moving ENE over New England..vs under us. kinda handicaps any 2nd half storm potential for SNE. Hopefully an overreaction by Euro. I know,, still a decent storm. GFS/GEM better with that