how bad is the FV3 Hi-Res? shows some promise here for christmas eve and maybe on Christmas Day for some scattered snow showers along East coastal mass
Yeah that looked juicer..the trajectory looks set..we just need that shortwave to start out a bit more north than currently modeled. Though I suppose the trajectory could also shift if the blocking relaxes somewhat. What we don't want to see is a continued trend to suppress..but as it stands it's not too far off from something better in SNE
I think this will slowly inch north. possible the models are exaggerating the strength of blocking around Iceland and 50/50 low. You wouldnt need much compensation for this to hit New England
Verbatim, your first White Christmas in 16 years. you take, although about as borderline as you can get
We do however root for the other models over at run.