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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. I'm not really worried about the initial low, but rather any redevelopment being over our heads. I'd like to see that phased 500 evolution drag more east or south vs over our heads.
  2. I do see that. I may be in trouble but 6z Euro was slightly better in that regard vs 0z. Wouldn't be surprised in either direction at 12z
  3. Not a big fan of the 500 low moving ENE over New England..vs under us. kinda handicaps any 2nd half storm potential for SNE. Hopefully an overreaction by Euro. I know,, still a decent storm. GFS/GEM better with that
  4. 12z EPS showing some hangback moisture on Monday into Tuesday - i'm guessing a few members showing redevelopment or invt trough hanging back.
  5. EuroAI similar, maybe a tick faster? Thought at first it would be south
  6. @The 4 Seasons17.5" - Sandwich, MA ESandwich Coop might have slightly more
  7. True, I was kinda worried to see that trend south..but I do trust the EUROAI more.
  8. CMC slower, so thats a route to get the confluence to ease up a bit
  9. 2010 is not walking through that door. wagons north (somewhat).
  10. I got a group text with a link to a Northeast Weather Alert fb post
  11. Yeah and then you rain. So I'd be more optimistic considering where you live.
  12. Euro AI slunked south a tad at 18z. Still would be a good position for decent hit
  13. I feel the opposite. Models are probably overplaying the magnitude of the cold press..which as it stands would be extreme. I'm betting on a moderation of that. That being said, I didn't like seeing the AIGFS go south at 18z but I do think it will end up at least a graze here.
  14. Definitely some compaction/melt occurring early AM (around 2am temp rose to 33°) I was out and heard a lot of dripping
  15. Im convinced the AIs are going to lead the way on this. ride them in the mid range for storm track, 500 trough positions
  16. Weird how BOX removed all the Cape amounts from PNS.even the NWS observed 5.8" from 11pm. Now the amounts are all 4" and under. One way to cover a busted forecast
  17. Enjoy dude! Ended up with around 5" cement here. it's compacted to like 3 o 4" now. it's going to be here for a while
  18. The 6z euro AI is something. Good to see the AIs persistently north of OPs at 6z again
  19. some compaction/melt going on at 33.1°. But measured 5.25" at 230am
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