SouthCoastMA
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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA
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I deleted my ad hoc math because it didn't make sense. If records were kept over a longer time..it would probably smooth out to an even distribution.
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Wednesday Feb 18 Mixed event. NOPE …ain’t happenin’
SouthCoastMA replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Nod to the AI and GFS. -
The Feb 1st miss you could say was a coastal..but still kinda a strung out mess with dual lows / convection chasing
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Could always change your user name to EastonRA.
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That GFS run can GFI
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I never understood the agenda posters who have to spin. seems exhausting
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Maybe longitude helps here, like in SWFEs
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AIFS seems like it was most correct over mid range..although slightly over zealous at times
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Hey they still got 2. I'll take it
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SSTs are rock bottom too so let's just get some storms to track and precip.
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Can still get a good storm or two (or three) right through March with this pattern
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Not sure if I'd go that far wrt snow. Severe cold, yah definitely
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The problem is how far south that southern stream system is. Too bad its traversing Atlanta as opposed to Nashville
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Will be a struggle to get it up this far. But speed that southern vort a tad more, and things would look better.
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Trending to a cocktease. need to make at least 2-3 more jumps at 0/6/12z
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CMC trying to get some light snow for Monday by way of nstream vortmax
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I think its similar to how MVY is..low lying surrounded by higher elevation. Might be the definition of fake cold but legit
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qc schmegma said winter was over yesterday. euro/gfs/AIs all looking good
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Preparing to locate the 1 or 2 ensembles members that are still hits, out of 51.
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The smell of yager bombs and puke walking out of the restroom at Sissy Ks, we'll take the 4 left abandoned by her hotter friends (maybe 6s)
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That could go back down to 0% by 630pm. And I'm also just talking about a scraper here.
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I give it a 10% shot.
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I remember that one well. I've never been more disappointed with 10-11". Pure arctic, windswept snow.
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You'd need that southern vort to keep pace. That was a slight hedge towards the 12z AIFS but you need to see that across the board with the other models. Its the 18z ICON after all.
