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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. Well, I'm willing to wait to see the other 12z models..but it's not much worse than the other models, if at all.
  2. You can see the block and 50/50 low pressing further south this run. Not what you want at this stage
  3. how bad is the FV3 Hi-Res? shows some promise here for christmas eve and maybe on Christmas Day for some scattered snow showers along East coastal mass
  4. Yeah that looked juicer..the trajectory looks set..we just need that shortwave to start out a bit more north than currently modeled. Though I suppose the trajectory could also shift if the blocking relaxes somewhat. What we don't want to see is a continued trend to suppress..but as it stands it's not too far off from something better in SNE
  5. not really worried about this one. doesn't look like much even if it creeps north. 1-3, 2-4" type system?
  6. CJ for EMA with Saturday's storm? looks like cold ll easterly/northeasterly flow with system going south of us.
  7. I think this will slowly inch north. possible the models are exaggerating the strength of blocking around Iceland and 50/50 low. You wouldnt need much compensation for this to hit New England
  8. Spend the winter in Mattapoisett, it will build your mettle.
  9. Euro tries to finger me an inch on Christmas eve like the GFS. Would be nice
  10. I didn't see that on the 12z GFS, comparing to 6z. looked closer to downeast on inverted trough, and further north for Saturdays storm.
  11. This trough is going to flop around on the models like Lebron until Tuesday
  12. The 12z GFS Doug Fluties EMA on Christmas eve Day with the invt trough
  13. Hail Mary here would be to get 1" via the sagging inverted trough on Christmas Eve.
  14. 6z euro still had the invt trough glazing the cape. Downeast Maine gets slaughtered with it
  15. assumed you were within the 1" shade. next run will be different anyway
  16. Verbatim, your first White Christmas in 16 years. you take, although about as borderline as you can get We do however root for the other models over at run.
  17. clips the ema coast Christmas eve morning. It sort of looks like the trough on 12/14, but more pronounced. something to watch at least
  18. Something like the 18z ICON would give a decent swath of SNE 1-2". A little dicey here but one of the colder runs i've seen.
  19. 6z AI had a 1030 High in Quebec, which made it interesting for some folks further north. Did 12z look even colder?
  20. CMC did look a bit better, despite the troubles here. I wish that blocking would come back and press this south a bit more.
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