olafminesaw
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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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Yeah, it's a real tightrope walk. A rather innacurate attempt at GFS track vs NHC track:
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A sign of the insanity this season has been when a cat 3 in the Atlantic is called a shell of it's former self. There's nothing unimpressive about her right now, and a category 1 landfall in NC is still fairly significant impact.
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Crawling NW towards OBX at 120, should still get kicked back to the east eventually, at that pace.
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It's going to take more than ticks.
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It doesn't seem to making much northward progress, eastern DR is also getting pounded right now.
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Still a bit of a weakness left by Jose at 144.
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Intense
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It's pretty clear to me the EWRC wasn't really a better case scenario for PR
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Good tip. Not legit as it turns out.
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Roseau looks like it will sustain a direct hit. It's hard to imagine what it's going to feel like for those people expecting a possible category 3 as of this morning.
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Talk about a complex setup
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These write ups are great. What would be awesome is if you could do the day 3 and/or day 5 NHC forecast positions as well. Maybe even create a weighted average (maybe like 40% current, 40% d3 and 20% d5). Obviously would be a lot of work, assuming you do it manually, but it would be a genuinely helpful metric for forecasting.
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Sorry guys for bringing the storm south with me (got back to Newport News this afternoon). It's gonna be epic. I really think Pittsburgh winters kinda suck. After a couple little snowfalls they start to get depressing because they happen so often. The big ones are really what make me love snow. Might as well live somewhere in the Mid Atlantic where its sunny sometimes. -
Perhaps the most beautiful cat 2 I've ever seen.
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Still no word from the island, 5 days later. It's a rather worrisome situation to say the least.
