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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Sam's inner core organization is a little slower than expected this morning. May support a slight adjustment south.
  2. olafminesaw
    Some strong to severe storms this evening
  3. olafminesaw
    Anything beyond this is speculation, but... intriguing nonetheless
  4. olafminesaw
    Hmm
  5. olafminesaw
    95L is trying to be the longest surviving cherry ever
  6. olafminesaw
    First wedge of the year! (Yay) Easier to scour out this time of year, but still. Wouldn't be surprised to see temps stay in the mid 70s today in the Triad
  7. olafminesaw
    No thanks What a sad system
  8. olafminesaw
    Seems typically with a large, tilted, fast moving system you tend to see more wind field expansion than an increase in max winds. But I suppose possible the eyewall could reorganize somewhat
  9. olafminesaw
    *sad cricket noises* Anyway, with the MCS that moved through, I doubt we will hit our forecast high of 86 in the triad. Muggy muggy though
  10. olafminesaw
    125 115 940 Cocodrie
  11. olafminesaw
    Hilly terrain, up to about 1000 ft, should halt intensification somewhat for at least a few hours. But hard to believe it will have much of an impact long term
  12. olafminesaw
    The GFS had been pumping out lots of gulf systems a couple days back as well. The signal is there
  13. olafminesaw
    GFS at 33 a tou ch east of 18z. heading for a landfall just east of LI i think
  14. olafminesaw
    Because it's the first model to run and addicts need their fix. Kinda like the SREF for snowstorms. I much prefer looking at the 3km version if I want my fix of complete nonsense
  15. olafminesaw
    Certainly true that it's not yet aligned. But the center is under the edge of the convection and even though convective bursts don't last forever, it should help the system align. Shear is definitely lessened
  16. olafminesaw
    https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-14-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  17. olafminesaw
    Wow, last few frames convection really started pushing north over the LLC. May be all systems go at this point
  18. olafminesaw
    You see this all the time as Typhoons recurve past Japan. They normally do ramp down pretty quick, but can bring pretty strong winds while looking pathetic on IR
  19. olafminesaw
    Seems to support FL wind data. I would go 70 mph
  20. olafminesaw
    Looks like there's some Saharan dust on pushing in from the South East of the circulation. Any chance it gets ingested and effects the system?
  21. olafminesaw
    When's the next recon? Seems like really infrequent recon for a possible landfilling US cane
  22. olafminesaw
    Late to release, the 12z UKMET ensembles:
  23. olafminesaw
    yeah, a foot of rain at just about any interval is really rare for boston.
  24. olafminesaw
    I'm guessing recon data will be integrated in the 0z suite?
  25. olafminesaw
    Best used for sniffing out alternative solutions IMO, which means it's definitely way off base sometimes
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