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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. Definitely a big step towards the GFS with more of a hybrid Miller A. Doesn't totally cave though, which is good for most everyone
  2. GEFS looks Great. Less amped than the GFS, but a solid hit for all NC
  3. Would be a nasty ice storm south of I85. That's a stout wedge
  4. Gotta iron out the vort track, strength etc. before it's even worth thinking about precip type issues. Always an issue when it comes to the big ones, which is why we don't mind an EPS-like solution
  5. Can't afford to see much more amplification than what the GFS depicts. Which is why the Euro is good news. The only other model in the GFS camp is the icon, so I think the full range of outcomes is still on the table
  6. And this is the part of the show where I get overly invested...
  7. The Euro is almost more frontal, which we don't so much like, if we're hoping for big totals.
  8. Gotta love how cold that run is for most of central NC. What a bizarre storm track though. Seems like small changes could yield wildly different results
  9. It's really encouraging to see multiple rolls of the dice. I don't think we can put much weight on any one of these modeled storm scenarios yet, but I can't help feeling like something will inevitably shake out in our favor
  10. Yeah, I mean, fair's fair. Gotta bring balance to the force, or whatever
  11. Realistically in that scenario the triad and SE would be at least half sleet
  12. It seems there's some data issues with the GFS, but showing on the old fashioned NWS site. Wow
  13. I'd be shocked if y'all didn't get any more snow. But I'll take my annual fifteen minutes of Fame
  14. Seems the only kind of snow we can get these past few years is 5:1 patchy stuff
  15. Seems we'll be in a bit of a dry slot for the next couple hours in the Triad, still, should get several good hours of snow
  16. Could end up a lot like the Feb 2020 "storm" (in the Triad)
  17. I myself enjoy the snow maps, but...not very helpful other than for trends
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