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CAD_Wedge_NC

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Everything posted by CAD_Wedge_NC

  1. CAD_Wedge_NC
    If only we had the technology on a global scale to convert this additional OHC into usable energy. I am sure some think-tank is already working on it.
  2. CAD_Wedge_NC
    At around 2:30, you can see large debris being lofted. This is clearly a large tornado, and that descending motion is real. Horizontal vortexes are not uncommon with well developed tornadoes.
  3. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Welcome back home man. We have missed ya.
  4. CAD_Wedge_NC
    It's not only the energy from the state change, it's also the reflected energy that we are losing. Open water will suck up all the sun's energy. It does't look good for any recovery that we all hoped would happen. September better hurry up and get here.
  5. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Robert was our go-to Met on this board for many years. He is excellent with winter weather in our part of the world. However, I really wasn't into severe weather back then. So, I can't comment on his severe forecast, but I would not bet against it right now.
  6. CAD_Wedge_NC
    If things stay the same, I expect we'll see a high risk with this one. The SPC day 1 criteria for high risk (45% with sig severe) would be reached.
  7. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Looks like a doorway to the underworld.... scary stuff.
  8. CAD_Wedge_NC
    The FV3's track for the storm was spot on for a week out. Almost unheard of. It did not get the thermals exactly right but hey, for it to be that close at that range is great to see. I would give it a solid A
  9. CAD_Wedge_NC
    01z RAP loves the upstate of SC
  10. CAD_Wedge_NC
    HRRR has it more west....
  11. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Nam doesn't like the foothills or western Piedmont....
  12. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Of course, if you already have snow on the ground. If you don't have a snow cover, it will be rate dependent.
  13. CAD_Wedge_NC
    A-1 sauce goes better with shoe
  14. CAD_Wedge_NC
    That model is only for 18 hours out
  15. CAD_Wedge_NC
    That line is not oriented in the right direction to rob us. Plenty of QPF coming.
  16. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yes it is.... I would not want to be a forecaster at the NWS in GSP today. So many possibilities to consider.
  17. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yep, just looking at soundings, it has temps just above freezing at the 700mb -825mb level last run it was right at 0C. Is it right? .... who knows at this point.
  18. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Not going to buy into that run unless other models follow suit. We are getting to the time now when the higher resolution models will be taking center stage.
  19. CAD_Wedge_NC
    It has trended south from yesterday's runs, but still playing catch-up. Don't worry, by tonight the models will likely converge.
  20. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I was thinking that this would happen, when I saw the south trends last night. That increases our chances of staying all snow, but it reduces the totals. I'll take that in a heartbeat.
  21. CAD_Wedge_NC
    It has done quite well in the past.
  22. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Then I can't explain why it would show "sleet and snow" with that sounding.
  23. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Nope, not the same. Snow requires saturation in the -12C through -17C layer. Sleet does not.
  24. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Well, that's the only way you can get sleet with that sounding.
  25. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Because you don't have complete saturation in the dendric growth zone.
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