Jump to content

CAD_Wedge_NC

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,474

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by CAD_Wedge_NC

  1. CAD_Wedge_NC
    See May 1992.....
  2. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yeah, I am thinking that the High Resolution NAM might have a better handle on the thermals than the global GFS would at this range. I'd go with the NAM on this one, but that's just me.
  3. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I want to know who hacked eyewall's account? Not like him to cancel winter in January.
  4. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I am sorry, but there is an 06z and 18z ECMWF run. However, those runs only go out to 96 hours instead of 240.
  5. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Burst of snow here.... Only lasted a few minutes.
  6. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I agree. If you are not being constructive, then you shouldn't post. I learned that lesson way back in the Americanwx and Stormvista days. Good to see some of you guys have been with us for more than 10 years. Now back to the weather.....
  7. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I'm stuck at 49h.
  8. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Check please..... I will take that and not complain the rest of the winter.
  9. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Maybe by tomorrow this time we will be able to see if it is on to something. It's not in the NAM's wheelhouse yet.
  10. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Getting so much better...... Solid S+ sounding.
  11. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I will take my chances with that sounding.
  12. CAD_Wedge_NC
    That Great Lakes HP along with the confluence from the 50/50 low will be the deciding factor in whether or not we have enough cold air and the eventual track. You have to be excited about the trends so far.
  13. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yes, it has trended colder and colder with each EURO run and I don't think it's done yet. This one might have some legs. Have been watching it on the various models.
  14. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I understand the skepticism. However, I would not dismiss this one yet. It will be interesting to see the thermals once the higher resolution models come into range. Until then, I will be watching the trends.
  15. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yeah, it looks like an elevation dependent event as of right now. However, it's been trending better for us foothills folks too.
  16. CAD_Wedge_NC
    That map will change many times before verification. Stick with the ensembles for long range forecasting.
  17. CAD_Wedge_NC
    This is going to be a good month. I can feel it. Currently foggy conditions and 50 degrees
  18. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I'll say this..... if the long range pattern comes to fruition, we will be tracking some big dogs in the next couple of weeks. I have not seen a better pattern than what's being forecasted in many years. This is what we have all been waiting on......
  19. CAD_Wedge_NC
    See, now that's where we differ...... Cold weather is needed for the ski industry in the Southern Apps. I don't care if I get 0 snow, as long as it's cold enough for them to make snow. A lot of folks' jobs are dependent on the cold. Let's not be selfish.
  20. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I don't understand the whining. This winter was supposed to be a wall-to-wall torch. Let's just be thankful we are not looking at a strong SE ridge and 75 degrees everyday. The pattern could be a lot worse.
  21. CAD_Wedge_NC
    NWS not buying it. Not even a mention of clouds in the forecast. Down-sloping makes it almost impossible to get any snow here in the lee.
  22. CAD_Wedge_NC
    23.9 degrees this morning with a very heavy frost. Even the shrubs are white.
  23. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Wait,,, what?.... I am confused....... Oh, I see now, you are talking about Greenville NC. Yeah, CAD storms don't really affect you guys.
  24. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I always look for a number of things to determine whether we will get a freezing rain event or not. This looks to be a very good example for the classical CAD event. 1) You want to see 850 Mb temperatures of -20C in ME (we have that) Check 2) You need that 540 line in Virginia (we have that) Check 3) A 1030+ high pressure around upstate NY (slightly north with this one) Check 4) Soil temps are important as well (no frozen ground with this one) Concerning but not a show stopper
  25. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Across the NC mtns and higher elevations of the Upstate and NE GA, snow will be the main p-type, where a few inches are possible across the srn escarpment and lower totals to the north. A lot can change with this system and the fcst will be adjusted over the next few days. One to keep an eye on. NWS seems to think the higher elevations will be ok.(excerpt from their afternoon discussion) Looking at the 12z GFS soundings, they show a very thin layer around 800mb above freezing up that way.
×
×
  • Create New...