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CAD_Wedge_NC

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Everything posted by CAD_Wedge_NC

  1. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yes, it has trended colder and colder with each EURO run and I don't think it's done yet. This one might have some legs. Have been watching it on the various models.
  2. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I understand the skepticism. However, I would not dismiss this one yet. It will be interesting to see the thermals once the higher resolution models come into range. Until then, I will be watching the trends.
  3. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yeah, it looks like an elevation dependent event as of right now. However, it's been trending better for us foothills folks too.
  4. CAD_Wedge_NC
    That map will change many times before verification. Stick with the ensembles for long range forecasting.
  5. CAD_Wedge_NC
    This is going to be a good month. I can feel it. Currently foggy conditions and 50 degrees
  6. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I'll say this..... if the long range pattern comes to fruition, we will be tracking some big dogs in the next couple of weeks. I have not seen a better pattern than what's being forecasted in many years. This is what we have all been waiting on......
  7. CAD_Wedge_NC
    See, now that's where we differ...... Cold weather is needed for the ski industry in the Southern Apps. I don't care if I get 0 snow, as long as it's cold enough for them to make snow. A lot of folks' jobs are dependent on the cold. Let's not be selfish.
  8. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I don't understand the whining. This winter was supposed to be a wall-to-wall torch. Let's just be thankful we are not looking at a strong SE ridge and 75 degrees everyday. The pattern could be a lot worse.
  9. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Across the NC mtns and higher elevations of the Upstate and NE GA, snow will be the main p-type, where a few inches are possible across the srn escarpment and lower totals to the north. A lot can change with this system and the fcst will be adjusted over the next few days. One to keep an eye on. NWS seems to think the higher elevations will be ok.(excerpt from their afternoon discussion) Looking at the 12z GFS soundings, they show a very thin layer around 800mb above freezing up that way.
  10. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Speaking of Antarctica ..... "Ice extent is now well above the 1981 to 2020 median extent. This follows a remarkable transition from generally below median extent beginning in August 2016 to well above median extent just in the seven weeks preceding October 1, 2020". Why are we seeing the shift from near record low extent in the north, to near record high extent in the south? If this is a "global" issue, someone please explain the anomaly with Antarctic ice extent.
  11. CAD_Wedge_NC
    If only we had the technology on a global scale to convert this additional OHC into usable energy. I am sure some think-tank is already working on it.
  12. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Welcome back home man. We have missed ya.
  13. CAD_Wedge_NC
    It's not only the energy from the state change, it's also the reflected energy that we are losing. Open water will suck up all the sun's energy. It does't look good for any recovery that we all hoped would happen. September better hurry up and get here.
  14. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Looks like a doorway to the underworld.... scary stuff.
  15. CAD_Wedge_NC
    The FV3's track for the storm was spot on for a week out. Almost unheard of. It did not get the thermals exactly right but hey, for it to be that close at that range is great to see. I would give it a solid A
  16. CAD_Wedge_NC
    01z RAP loves the upstate of SC
  17. CAD_Wedge_NC
    HRRR has it more west....
  18. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Nam doesn't like the foothills or western Piedmont....
  19. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Of course, if you already have snow on the ground. If you don't have a snow cover, it will be rate dependent.
  20. CAD_Wedge_NC
    A-1 sauce goes better with shoe
  21. CAD_Wedge_NC
    That model is only for 18 hours out
  22. CAD_Wedge_NC
    That line is not oriented in the right direction to rob us. Plenty of QPF coming.
  23. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yes it is.... I would not want to be a forecaster at the NWS in GSP today. So many possibilities to consider.
  24. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yep, just looking at soundings, it has temps just above freezing at the 700mb -825mb level last run it was right at 0C. Is it right? .... who knows at this point.
  25. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Not going to buy into that run unless other models follow suit. We are getting to the time now when the higher resolution models will be taking center stage.
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