CAD_Wedge_NC

Well, if you are a winter weather fan, may God have mercy on your soul...... just saying.

Yes, I do agree. The models have been hinting at something during that timeframe for a few runs now.

Now that's funny, I almost spit out my coffee when I read it. My wife said, what's so funny? and what is a banana high?

This latest run (06z) takes it all away. I don't think we will know for sure what will happen until we get closer. I am pulling for you guys. Let those ski resorts build their bases.

This is not a torch. I'll take phase 7 for now. You do realize that we will be going into phase 8 during peak climo.

Down to 18 with a chance to get another degree out of it. NWS nailed the forecast low here. Didn't think it would be that cold, but it is.

Just had a mixed shower pass through here Mostly sleet with rain and snow mixed in.

Got down to 32 degrees this morning. Plenty of frost.

Yes a lot of us were on Eastern and came here when it shut down

Heavy sleet/snow mix in Boone per webcams. starting to accumulate on elevated surfaces.

You guys are too funny. You know it will snow in March and then it will be gone in less than a day. Or probably just some "white rain" that doesn't accumulate.

Good bye to La Nina! I think we have had enough of SE ridges. Let's hope for a weak El Nino.

I have not had a snow mean that high all winter. Let's hope the American models are right on this one. The GFS has lead the way so far. Can we finally reel one in?

No, Mt Washington's all-time record low has always been lower than anything in NC (-47F in 1934). The -47.1F recorded this weekend is now their new All-time number. That -32F was only a record for this day, not their all-time record. Hope this clears the confusion. TEMPERATURES (°F) Normal Monthly Average Normal Daily Maximum Average Normal Daily Minimum Average Record High (Year) Record Low (Year) January 5.8 14.9 -3.2 48 (2013) -47 (1934) February 5.9 14.8 -3.0 48 (2018) -46 (1943) March 12.9 20.8 4.9 54 (1998, 2012) -38 (1950) April 23.7 30.7 16.7 60 (1976) -20 (1995) May 36.3 42.5 30.2 66 (1977,2020) -2 (1966) June 45.5 51.4 39.6 72 (2003) 8 (1945) July 49.9 55.3 44.5 71 (1953,2018) 24 (2001) August 48.7 54.2 43.2 72 (1975) 20 (1986) September 43.1 49.1 37.1 69 (1999) 9 (1992) October 31.3 37.7 24.9 62 (2005) -5 (1939) November 20.8 28.4 13.1 52 (1982,2019,2022) -26 (2018) December 11.8 20.1 3.5 47 (2001) -46 (1933) Annual 28.0 35.0 21.0 72 (Aug. 1975) -47 (Jan. 1934)

Good, then why are you still here trolling everybody else? I don't want to see any posts from you when there is a valid threat. Also, I don't appreciate being called a weenie for remembering that it's still January...... SMH.

Yeah, I felt sure things would be looking up by the end of January...... doesn't look promising anymore.

Yeah, GSP just added "rain and snow likely" to my forecast on Tuesday night down here. Didn't see that coming.

Are you directing that post at me????

Maybe we can dodge most of the severe outbreaks.

There is a signal. I'll give you that. I also like where the MJO is headed. Let's get this inside 7 days and then we can breathe a little easier.

It does give us some hope, but it is too far down the road to put any faith in right now. Like to see it inside 7 days.

If the MJO is in phase 4,5 or 6 during February, then you can forget about it being cold. That is pretty much guaranteed in a La Nina.

Yeah, was just looking at that. Looks like the model is starting to come around.

Nope, it's just the GFS being clueless. I will not even look at it until we are 72 hours out (been burned too many times). Not saying that the Euro solution will play out, just not buying into the GFS. Remember it was the Euro / UK solution that led the way over the GFS on our Dec non-event and that combo looks pretty good right now.... stay tuned.

Only one problem ..... Februarys in a La Nina year typically mean torch city. So, if you are going to punt all of January, might as well punt February too....... Oh, and just food for thought, punting the entire winter on the second day of January is not a wise move. We are all sore about the bitter cold in December with nothing to show for it, however there will still be more chances.