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CAD_Wedge_NC

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Everything posted by CAD_Wedge_NC

  1. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yes, and the globals can miss these small scale features that could provide local areas with enhanced precip. Is the NAM right? I would like to see this show up consistently on future runs before committing either way. I will say that a wave developing and some lee-side enhancement is not out of the question by any means. At this range I start to rely more heavily on the higher resolution guidance than on the globals.
  2. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Nah, that western US ridge will save us .... look at that split flow just off the California coast.
  3. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Back down into the teens again this morning.... 19 degrees here. Could bottom out with another degree or two. Some big temp swings this past week.
  4. CAD_Wedge_NC
    No, he is talking about late this weekend.... and I agree. This one is closer than a lot of folks think.
  5. CAD_Wedge_NC
    As an average, you want to be about 250 miles MW of a "miller A" track. if it hugs the coast and is amped up, there will be a swath of heavy snow around that distance. That's just from all the winter storms I have witnessed in the past. In some of the the colder storms, I have seen the snow line much closer to the LP center. That's just a good rule of thumb.
  6. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Stand your ground.... This is far from being written in stone. right now it's where you want it to be. Trust the ensembles more at this range. The op runs will be all over the place until 48 hours out.
  7. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yep sure is.... Much improved.
  8. CAD_Wedge_NC
    That would be fun....
  9. CAD_Wedge_NC
    There is enough confluence already and 850's are plenty cold enough.
  10. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I could see it being freezing rain and sleet, if it comes in early enough.
  11. CAD_Wedge_NC
    850's don't support anything but rain for everybody. Could be freezing rain if it is cold enough on the ground.
  12. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Like a hurricane in the gulf...
  13. CAD_Wedge_NC
    How so, I don't see it...
  14. CAD_Wedge_NC
    "Too much suppression"... I can hear it now.
  15. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yep, we have seen so many of these 7 day threats go up in smoke. I agree... wait until we can "see the whites of their eyes"
  16. CAD_Wedge_NC
    For the love of Heaven, don't let the bouncing blue turd start any more winter weather threads. He's bad luck...
  17. CAD_Wedge_NC
    More precip this time?
  18. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Is that the FV3??
  19. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I wouldn't worry about the moisture. Every storm we have had this season has over-performed. This one will be no exception. It may be east of us or west of us, but it will not be dry.
  20. CAD_Wedge_NC
    We will ... in about 6 weeks. Then we can begin looking forward to the Summer heat, humidity, mosquitoes, mowing grass, fire-ants, pollen, and sweating our butts off. No thank you. I prefer the winter.
  21. CAD_Wedge_NC
    If I remember correctly .... Charlotte's record low maximum is 14 degrees.
  22. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yep, sure is. I see another storm with I-85 written on it. Maybe this time the trends are in better for those areas south of 85. Let's bring this one home.
  23. CAD_Wedge_NC
    I agree.... I think that is a real possibility. More than usual.
  24. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Yep, but it is still interesting seeing the DGZ all the way to the surface. That's some cold air...
  25. CAD_Wedge_NC
    Had that in the March 2, 1980 snowstorm. Heavy snow and a temp of 9 degrees.
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