CAD_Wedge_NC

Not yet sold on that solution. I want to see today's runs before I lose interest.

Do you really think that the cold push will be that strong come verification time???? Rarely is as modeled at this range. To say that we will not get anything during the entire week sounds like a pretty bold statement to me. I would definitely bet the over on that one.

Why are you so negative on next week's potential? You are trolling every post. Stop with the " one-liners and explain why you believe this. I would be happy to hear it.

Well, we have had all three main models show a big dog at one point. I am getting the feeling that this is somewhat legit. One thing that I am still unsure of is the strength of that high pressure. Really.....1050mb+ ..... If that is not as strong as currently modeled come verification time, then all bets are off. I will be watching to see if the models back off of the strength in the coming days and how much.

Don't be too sure.... I like it on this side of the fence. Better than fighting mixing issues.

Remember the NW trend..... it always happens. Question is, how much will it trend? Hopefully, not enough to take everyone out of the game.

Enjoy it Tony. You have waited too long.

It is wrong. It is in the process of correcting with each run.

28/9 ...... clear and cold

Might end the streak with this storm ....

Not sure what to make of that low. It's not our main surface low. This is some sort of meso-low. Strange for sure....

My guess is that we will see the moisture increase today, but I am afraid that the track may shift inland like the GFS just showed. Who knows.... it seems like we still don't know what will probably happen, and we are only 60 hours from game-time.

I am rooting for the weaker version for now, because I know it will amp up right before game time.

Clear trend so far is for a weaker storm with colder profiles.

Yep, I believe you are correct.

Yep, that used to be a given. If Dallas gets a snowstorm, Atlanta and Raleigh would follow.

Actually the total snowfall went up in some places .... especially in the CAD areas. Front end thump and then slop.

22 here this morning.

Hey look who's back .... the blue turd...... Let's Go!!

Hope the 12z run will be similar.

Hey Beanskip .... long time no see. Where have you been hiding? Glad to see you are back. Let's reel one in.

I am with you on that. There are so many ways that this can still slip away from us. I do like the fact that the cold air looks solid. The timing of individual storms and their track is still up for grabs. With that being said, you got to like our chances. I can't remember a time, in recent history, when all the indices lined up just right for a KU winter storm in our neck of the woods. I am sure we are going to see some wild model runs (good and bad) in the coming days. Buckle up .... going to be wild.

Nope, it will not verify as depicted ...... never does at this range. The trend will be less of a cold push as we approach that timeframe. It will still be cold, just not below zero as some models are showing.

I am 60 years old, and I remember the Feb 1969 storm. 16 inches of powder. I was just a kid, but the snow was up to my knees. Also has thundersnow for a few hours in the afternoon.