Has it ever looked like a slam dunk for southern snow at this range? C'mon man.... Look at how the pattern has changed in just the last 3 days. Who knows what December will bring. We are definitely heading in the right direction... You have to agree with that.
8 more weeks until the average temps start falling back. July and August are the worst. Bees, snakes, mosquitoes, ticks, and spiders rule the next 2 months. Who said Summer is fun?
Chilly 53 degrees this morning. Going to fire up that grill later today and char some mammal flesh.... I got a couple of grass-fed ribeyes from a local cattle farmer.... can't wait.
Look at it this way .... if it phases early and we amp up, we have wiggle room to still get a good winter storm out of it. We are actually in a better spot than if we were worrying about a NW trend.
Nope, not going to get sucked in. The ensembles aren't in agreement with the OP. At this range we should be looking at that .... not the OP run. However, the trends are encouraging.
Yeah, not surprised at the CAD showing signs of being stronger as we approach verification. Far cry from the warm rain we were anticipating a few days ago.
Not really liking where this is going. This is trending towards a Miller B storm. If that's the case, we will see the CAD trend stronger/colder at the surface while the 850's stay warm. That spells "lights out for us"
I agree with you. However, it has been trending south .... it may not be done yet. It will all come down to where it ends up before the NW trend sets in.
I believe there was a reason for that. Webber kept telling us that it would come NW. He is a great met and has good pattern recognition skills. By the way, I pulled my shovel out of the shed ..... just in case the EURO/CMC camp is right.
No, I have been on these boards for 20 years and I have learned that you never speak in absolutes. You learn that nothing is written in stone until a 100% model consensus is reached. That hasn't happened yet with this storm. Not being argumentative, I am just trying to understand your reasoning.
OK ..... What percentage do you think trend NW? You say a high percentage .... does that mean you think that there is a high percentage of this one trending NW. Asking for a friend.