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David-LI

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Everything posted by David-LI

  1. If it makes landfall in Nassau County as Ukie shows I guess I'll have some gusts followed by calm winds while the center of storm passes over us.
  2. It appears the GFS at hr 48 is a few miles west and a few mb stronger compared to 06z. Looks like a Twin Forks landfall.
  3. I just know that only a few hours of decent sustained winds and chances are high that power goes out in my area. It always does with windy storms let alone a Cat 1 or TS.
  4. God pushed the ignite button
  5. Looks like the center explodes in the last hour https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-02-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  6. Looks like the center explodes in the last hour https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-02-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  7. It is blowing up in the last few frames
  8. Way more west than forecasted by models
  9. Mind sharing website you're using to track?
  10. I know it's the NAM and probably overdone but Pivotal weather and Tropicaltidbits show a difference of about 20mb on the NAM3k at the same time Sunday. Different calculations?
  11. NAM 12k going for a Long Island landfall. Hope watches go out today so people that watch the news this afternoon and evening can be alert.
  12. What do you guys think of the rapid intensification seen on the NAM 3k? I'd like to see if tomorrow that will verify and we have Henri at 975mb.
  13. Not happening. Recon flight a few moments ago observed pressure of 1000mb and winds at around 55-60 kts. Ukie started at 985mb.
  14. Euro at hr 54 is a disorganized mess hardly resembling a hurricane.
  15. When are they sending recon aircraft?
  16. FWIW, GFS did well with Elsa last month.
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