David-LI

Isn't the RRFS a very short range model? Better within 24hrs?

Might be right this time

NAM end of run is not accurate.

I guess I'll take number 18 with extra fries please

I GOTTA GET THE BREAD AND MILK!

GFS looks great for the NYC metro! Get your snow shovels and salt ready again.

Is the 12z UKIE out yet?

have a snow map?

any1 got 12z euro snow totals map?

Normal ratio for this storm

No snow or only flurries on 12z GFS .

everything looks orange outside

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Somerset County in northern New Jersey... Northeastern Middlesex County in northern New Jersey... * Until 215 PM EDT. * At 149 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Plainfield, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Carteret, Middlesex, Bound Brook, Colonia, Woodbridge, South Plainfield, North Plainfield, Metuchen, Dunellen, Watchung, Iselin, Sewaren, Port Reading, Avenel, and Fords. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED; MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN Issued by Philadelphia - PA, US, National Weather Service

Severe thunderstorm warning just west of NYC

We might see some storms approach the area later tonight

please change your signature, taking the whole page.

These cells are producing 1.5" hail.

Will that line of storms make it here this time or will it dry up too over LI?

There are also storms modelled for tonight around 11pm-12am

Seeing storms on the radar in W PA and NW NY. Hopefully we get a late afternoon thunderstorm.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 441 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 125 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2025 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 441 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NYC001-005-007-017-019-021-025-027-031-033-035-039-041-043-047- 057-059-061-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-091-093-095-105-111- 113-115-119-200100- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0441.250619T1725Z-250620T0100Z/ NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALBANY BRONX BROOME CHENANGO CLINTON COLUMBIA DELAWARE DUTCHESS ESSEX FRANKLIN FULTON GREENE HAMILTON HERKIMER KINGS MONTGOMERY NASSAU NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) ORANGE OTSEGO PUTNAM QUEENS RENSSELAER RICHMOND ROCKLAND SARATOGA SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE ST. LAWRENCE SULLIVAN ULSTER WARREN WASHINGTON WESTCHESTER

Storm cells popping up in NJ and moving in the area earlier than modelled. We might be in for a stormy afternoon.