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Everything posted by David-LI
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If it makes landfall in Nassau County as Ukie shows I guess I'll have some gusts followed by calm winds while the center of storm passes over us.
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Canadian with a landfall in Central Long Island. Noting that it started fairly weak.
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Nothing on Pivotal Weather yet.
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I wonder if it can make a double landfall as Cat 1, First Montauk then CT
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New London airport in CT
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It appears the GFS at hr 48 is a few miles west and a few mb stronger compared to 06z. Looks like a Twin Forks landfall.
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I just know that only a few hours of decent sustained winds and chances are high that power goes out in my area. It always does with windy storms let alone a Cat 1 or TS.
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God pushed the ignite button
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Definitely a surge. Not similar track to Sandy. Sandy made a NJ landfall.
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Looks like the center explodes in the last hour https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-02-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
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Looks like the center explodes in the last hour https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-02-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
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It is blowing up in the last few frames
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Way more west than forecasted by models
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Mind sharing website you're using to track?
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I know it's the NAM and probably overdone but Pivotal weather and Tropicaltidbits show a difference of about 20mb on the NAM3k at the same time Sunday. Different calculations?
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NAM 12k going for a Long Island landfall. Hope watches go out today so people that watch the news this afternoon and evening can be alert.
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What do you guys think of the rapid intensification seen on the NAM 3k? I'd like to see if tomorrow that will verify and we have Henri at 975mb.
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Not happening. Recon flight a few moments ago observed pressure of 1000mb and winds at around 55-60 kts. Ukie started at 985mb.
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Euro at hr 60 very weak and disorganized, hardly resembling a tropical storm.
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Euro at hr 54 is a disorganized mess hardly resembling a hurricane.
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When are they sending recon aircraft?
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FWIW, GFS did well with Elsa last month.