Typhoon Tip

Heh. 18Z does it all over again later next week with Tibetan hgts.

It's home grown heat - that's way. I agree. It's a scenario where we have the non -hydro heights ridic but our sun needs a nexus with an injected western kinetically charge slab of lava. The two together ..really along 40 N needs that. They just get that nexus more frequently out in IA...progressively less common coming E along the 40th parallel..

Should we gin up a tropical thread ? There's also a small cyclone that's organized farther east along the same trough axis that host 96L, ..out around 70W/28.5 N - which must to the chagrin of others, does have enough oceanic space to act. haha... that would funny. For now it doesn't have much llv coupled oceanic circulation evidence, but neither did 96 L this time yesterday. Also, man 95 L looks good. wouldn't it be early to see a CV system - that's interesting. All topics that could go in a tropic threat for disco -

I haven't really looked very much at it to be blunt. This heat event the foreground/ .. leading to was a bit more compelling.

Oh state street - not government ave. heh, not sure where that came from. Just down town ..

Truth be told it's 'marginal' for 'big heat' ... being of the 100 point variety. But there are two metrics in play: scalar temp/DPs; apparent temp. I always thought of big heat cut off as 95 - but it's a social media vernacular ....It's like torch - wtf does that really mean. Anything anyone does not want in terms of warm is a torch - got it. So semantic this or that, just going by numbers, Scott's not wrong per se. But, it would only take a couple ticks and then we get into the gray area with HI and shit.

I'm not even arguing with y'all - that's what's funny about that. I dunno. Seem like you guys have assumed an adversary in the debate ... like you need one. hahaha sorry, ain't me. I never said the high temperature would be above the high 90s. In fact, if we go back I said at the beginning that this was a non-hydrostatic expression of ridging more so than heat inside it, and that we are actually missing a critical inject from the SW in this. ? I haven't changed that stance. As far as recent comments on the models - that's all they are...commenting what the model says. But, 97/71, which isn't a stretch in this ...plugged into CPC's own HI calculator is 105 - that is life threatening to people that don't take it seriously. There may be two discussion points here: one where I have been scapegoated lol, the other ( Scott ) needs to review HI standardizations are make fun of that. J/k dude Anyway, that's why they have advisories and warnings. Not on me man -

New NAM FOUS grid would put lives in danger on Tuesday - bite me. Lol.. .no I don't really care really but I do think the headlines out west are eclipsing a significant and impact event here. This run screws the temp up to 32 C at 980 mb - basically at the top of the Prudential Tower - any guess what it is down on Government Ave while that's happening... Worse yet, some pile driver boss of a crew sending up his roofers over in forkin' reve-ah. Probably 37 C out there along Rt 9 in Framingham waiting on one of those 5 minute red lights

Interesting I was checking the HI numbers and they were unchanged... Apparently, 104/66 at biggest combo 2 hours back is the same as 111/55 present hour. 110

I just see it moving into a no shear environment, with momentum in cyclostrophic flow already going ... over ample OHC. Not sure how many environment variable one really needs, but rip and read on those parametrics, I would not be shocked if TS watches go out for the SE Coast pretty soon here. LOL -

It's impressive what it's doing to June -

Ho man ... 'magine if that thing did a 24 hour RI out of nowhere ...

I love it. This morning TPC had slightly different take on this - things can change really fast Satellite imagery and nearby buoy and ship observations indicate that a small low pressure system has formed about 500 miles east-southeast of the Georgia-South Carolina border. Surface pressures have begun to fall across the area, and showers and thunderstorms have recently become better organized. Some additional development of this system will be possible later today, and especially on Monday when the system will move across the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream, and a tropical depression could form before the system makes landfall along the southern U.S. coast. The low is expected to move westward today, and then west-northwestward at about 15 mph on Monday, reaching the coast of the southeastern United States by late Monday. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Monday afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

There we go ... That guy that looks like a Cyborg terminator swings his bat and Jupiter's orbit wiggles but at least they got him.

No, this is not true

Okay ...I know - You're talking about the experience of weather - no argument. No argument. The Meteorology metrical aspects are noteworthy and thus preclude the run-of-the-mill aspect. That said, if it make 98/72 anywhere, the experience is rare - not arguable. Sorry. And 27 C at 925 has an adiabat arrival to 35 C at the bottom - btw. That does not even include explosive parcel release in the 2 meter, which adds a couple C typically to the slope temp; that number. 37 C =~ 98 So I'm not sure I agree with just that piece of your claim -

In the last 2 innings I have not seen one call or act of motion not end up in favor of the Sox. I've liked baseball for the better part of 25 years. I am not an every game and pitch within fanatic, no - but I am usually aware of standings and who won - and do watch a lot of innings over the course of a season. So tfwiw - I have never seen a Yankees team be this ineffectual against a Sox team - and the 'early in the season' mantra is losing footing as we near the 4th because mid season .

Heat just doesn't stroke every awe-boner in this weather-related interest/social media. For others, purely from a Meteorological perspective and interest ...that ( bold abv) is interesting. that's the difference. Some Mets and hobbyists may get into this sort of thing; others do not. But for those that do not, the semantic attempt at spinning it less because the conversation is petty-annoying ...tough shit I guess. Whatever -

my Apple smart phone is unrelenting ... I have indicated negative, yet it keeps posting me to install a free app with the ability inform me when/if I have been exposed to COVID. This is what drives intelligent folk to distraction .. a distraction where's harms public/social/economic trust - - cloaked in deception of protecting you? If some app can warn you, it in fact also knows where YOU are, and probably infers what you are doing - perhaps the real intent. The only thing that got rid of it was allowing the occasional OS upgrade run - we'll see if it pops up again. The odd thing, it's like humanity - industrial world - kinda needs something like that ? It does. It's scary to have to admit, but part of the darkness of humanity isn't any over arcing agency's social engineering ploys. It is that realistically, there is a ballast of population, en masse, now big enough to bring it all down. These cannot be reached with reason and logic; their fu'ked up lunacy and etho-chambered shit for brains actions ugh Talks about society arriving between a rock and hard place. I don't wanna be monitored, but I also don't wanna be a casualty of some intrinsic or endemic threat to civility, either.

Mmm we may wanna look up and test that - I 'think' this was mentioned as nearing a historic ridge in terms of heights - that would by definition preclude the "every summer" assumption

Who cares about the 4th ... god, there's a potentially life threatening event getting started like now - But I know.. No one takes heat seriously - fine. whatever. The nexus of cumulative thermal storing with residual supportive synoptics doesn't really occur until Tuesday 18z ( ~ ), despite the non-hydrostatic dome on the charts maximizing in the Y and X coordinate dimensions roughly 00z tomorrow evening. Tuesday morning, in fact, I wonder if elevated/record high-minimums may be in trouble that dawn. Light west wind over, through a landscape bathed the previous day in insolation will help maintain fully thermally charged hydrostatic thickness, in a situation where the initial conditional potential are huge in that regard. This should reflect in temperature stalls at exceptionally high values - even relative to heat wave climo for our area of the country. The over-arcing synoptic ordeal's significance ( I believe ) may be eclipsed by the Portland specter. We are approaching 600 dam just S of LI. One can only imagine what would be if Sonoran heat injection got caught up inside this thing - Anyway I could see Logan and LGA not falling below 84 F, perhaps not 90 until 1 or 2 am. interesting.

It could be that simple - snark aside. Lol, words to the affect of, "...Exhibiting methods of propulsion and acceleration 'unworldly' beyond the technological and/or scientific capabilities of the U.S. or its allies, or adversaries. ..." Egads! What does one do with a statement like that - Truth be told ... despite the evocative use of the word 'unworldly' ... ( which I am not really sure that is in the report - I should probably go make sure because CNN covered and they are barely a verifiable status above tabloid news at this point for their incendiary tactic bullshit ) ... all that report really reveals is: A, this is what we observed; B, we don't have an explanation for what these objects really are. But it seems rather egregious using turn of phrases like unworldly toward a population saturated by the last 25 years of seamless VR vs R, in CGI dystopian Sci Fi cinema. Too egregious in fact - c'mon man! They said that shit like that, deliberately. Maybe it is to increase funding. I dunno. Or, it's just the PR ineptitude of American "intelligence" agencies. Ha! Distinct possibility just the same. Either way, it' like they are cutesy dancing around the pachyderm notion of the thing and what they 'really' think - actual ET ? Say it, but don't 'say it' to dodge culpability and undermining confidence in their offices.

N edge of high cloud band just cleared here, too - we're currently humming in the microwave

I realize this won't get considered/ ..if read, so I'll keep it brief. Models turning the flow more west tomorrow/Tuesday. Mid coastal CT to Logan and points SE won't broil today ventilated by modifying marine contamination and mid/upper 80s and rich DPs oughta do it today. So when the thumbs down post about the heat bust start up, keep that in mind

It's still 7 days away so yeah, likely to change in future runs. Wouldn't sweat it - This forum also serves as an outlet for neurotic complaining/venting. Soo many red-headed step children are grateful this was invented as a domestic abuse reducing device - lol..