Typhoon Tip

It's 2-meters keep nicking off degrees every run though - it may be that a collapsed model solution is nearing. It's an odd looking surface synopsis for 18z in these Euro runs, too. That much damming just looming from the NE, yet no BD coming down, is atypical climo to say the least. I don't trust it, but it would be interesting to see that. GFS-like solutions are climate friendlier. On the flip side, the Euro is typically not that grossly inaccurate at < 4.5 days, whereas the GFS has made more gaffs in that range. hard to say or sell either way

Plus, the sensor's offline at the moment so ... not likely unrelated

Jun 25, 1:55 pm 84 70 62 88 ENE 14 10.00 SCT060 29.96 29.98 Jun 25, 1:54 pm 95 68 42 100 ENE 14 10.00 FEW037 BKN065 1015.10 29.96 29.98 95 78 Jun 25, 1:50 pm 93 68 44 98 ENE 14 10.00 SCT050 BKN070 29.96 29.98 Jun 25, 1:45 pm 93 68 44 98 E 14 10.00 SCT050 BKN070 29.96 29.98 Jun 25, 1:43 pm 93 68 44 98 E 15G21 10.00 SCT050 BKN070 29.96 29.98 Jun 25, 1:40 pm 86 68 55 89 E 10 10.00 BKN050 BKN070 29.96 29.98 Jun 25, 1:35 pm 84 68 58 87 E 10 10.00 BKN050 BKN070 29.95 29.97 Jun 25, 1:30 pm 82 68 62 85 E 10 10.00 BKN050 BKN070 29.96 29.98 Jun 25, 1:25 pm 79 66 65 ESE 9 10.00 BKN050 BKN070 29.96 29.98

yeah ha just typed a similar explanation

I bet that's low level folding There's NW wind moving into Boston and it's "tipping" the air mass over the really shallow E component and it may be mixing irregularly back down

huh... Logan can't be 95 with that wind wtf

I'm wondering if that's not the end tho. May be, but there's a lot of wind flags pointing SE ... I could see them flipping off and on over the afternoon ... heh, like 90 - 80 - 90 -80

93/71

just think ... exactly 6 mo from right now that'll be 50.7

Seems to be alone ... Overall, it's trying to be less cool. It's not as cool with the backside frontal environment tomorrow. Ex, 70s vs 60s. But also, Saturday the Euro it attempts to roll-back the front as a warm intrusion back to about Rt 2 actually... Meanwhile the GFS and NAM are suppressed, in cold murky back-packing Labradorian sludge air to S of HFD

Examples?

It's romantic to think of big heat ending with an exit big bang ... but, she seldom shows up. The reason for that is because as is typically the case, the front that demarcates the surface end of the heat wave, parallels the flow - typically still having heat wave CIN layer cap. This mollifies instability while also doesn't provide triggers. The result is that it just sort of goes away. It's progress in displacing the heat is in lockstep with the speed of the height decay aloft. As the ridge recedes, the front is repositioning accordingly. You can see that happening here. WSW-ENE oriented front side-winding slowly south, as the ridge is deflating - booorinnng We just find our selves in a different world tomorrow with severe drizzle to show for the giant change.

It was 90 by 9 at Logan fwiw-

Getting a bit nervous about that 4th of July weekend... The telecon spread is as of last night's layout undeniably signaling a cold piece of shitness look. Below is the spatial/physically depicted synoptic version of those numerics. It really is fuckin' remarkable how you can set your watch to this occurring during these warm seasons holidays. And there's only 3 of them so it's a clever achievement of probability that 3 in 90 days are so well correlated to cold piece of shitness

87 at 8 am ... one degree less than where we were yesterday at this time. Same sky Same wind Presently, WPC analyzes a quasi stationary surface front extending W-E across NNY and NNE. This feature will actively move S as a N-door front this evening, but not before today loads mid 90s, with lingering DPs in the region S of it. Tonight it'll perform the canonical behavior of turning SW and accelerating through NYC and beyond. This impressive heatwave will be history... Tomorrow will be as though we stepped off a flight in a far away colder region of the planet. Regionally, likely to experience a 24-hour correction by as much as 20 to 25 degrees.

Looks like Logan snuck in a 102

Maybe it's a heat burst phenomenon from the outflow off those severe summit cells chinooking downslope ... hmm hmm hahaha

I shoulda known - it's the ping temp. duh Anyway, 102 here town.

yeah, I had forgotten all this...right.

Why would their data dissemination not match what they are saying verbally - it's likely legit, sure, but it's still interesting.

seems like everyone at this point. some stragglers but it's a majority thing in an ambience that's suggesting everyone is there for at least a moment

Thursday will be colder than the thickness profile suggests in total. Very left sloped sounding. The issue is that the high is moving E of Maine during that day, and that's when the wind that's coming from the NE veers to E and is chilled by the ocean prior to reacquainting with land. Probably 68 F. I had doubted that possibility in an early post the other day but now that I look at that again I can see that source/mechanism ... After this, it may seem like a winter storm watch. By they way, the Euro is still mid 90s HFD to BOS tomorrow. It'd be a nice 30 F lop off

Usually in this scenario with supreme heating potential and a well mixed exit right wind direction we don't actually max over eastern zones until somewhere 4:30 to 5pm-ish so it's too early to say for sure. For now though this gives the impression that we're about at the ceiling. we may ping a click over the top - like FIT - they spent a moment at 100.4 and they're back to 99s... But this won't be an all-timer the way this looks at the moment.

wow! Rt 2 flame thrower. everyone's 100+