Buddy1987

I’ve started to accept we just don’t do snow anymore this side of the country. The GFS could show it being -2 Fahrenheit here for 10 days straight from days 10-20 and I wouldn’t believe it. Even then it would be our luck that it would be so cold everything would be suppressed to Rio De Janeiro 

38 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Just can’t get right

 

Unreal.. couldn’t have a better track. Gets kinda hard to remain positive with the way the pattern has unfolded last couple years. Going to hang onto hope with the pros in here honking for colder weather developing. 

51 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I would think you would do ok on the 3rd if that setup as shown on the 12z is close to true.  it does suck to chase coatings repeatedly.  but its not like anyone else is killing it either.  the grass is still green at my moms house in Rochester, MI

Yea that’s nuts to hear.. I would go up to the Bills games a lot when I still lived in CT and I know lake effect hasn’t really done much this year. Pretty depressing if you like snow. 

What a damn shame.. was really starting to get excited for 1/8 and beyond.. can’t win anymore. Hoping to at least get another coating Friday into Saturday but even that seems like a wish at this point. 

I would say verbatim right now if you’re west of 64 and up and down 81 you feel halfway decent. A lot going to change though I’m sure.

Who are some of these clowns this year that have infiltrated the board. Kinda comical to me with their viewpoints.. trying to take PSU to school just makes me laugh. 

Merry Christmas everyone! Cheers to some upcoming January awesomeness! 

Just had a huge snow squall pass through. Immediate caving of elevated surfaces, patio and vehicles. Man it feels good to see some snow again esp this early in the season.

Could someone kindly post the most recent wave height map? Gonna be in VA Beach next weekend and would love to see from some of the models what it’s forecasting. 

8 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

https://x.com/nycstormchaser/status/1699564711287681232?s=46&t=wnL9UkNay47lChNZhqU2Pw

Pretty wild to see that and the sw trend the last couple of model cycles here. Thanks for sharing. 

Pretty crazy how quick convection has managed to wrap around the eyewall just within the last 30 min approx. Looking forward to reports as the evening progresses. 

3 minutes ago, shaggy said:

I'm about 10 miles west off the beach at Wrightsville and about 15 miles north of Caswell beach now. Just moved down here a month ago.

Beautiful place! We stayed in North Topsail two weekends ago and took a drive down to Wrightsville Beach for the day. North Topsail had a lot of construction and renovations going on. Read something they got hit by like an EF2 tornado or something during one of the tropical events couple years back. Stay safe!

Bombs away at 192! One can only hope…

2 hours ago, WesternFringe said:

I would create a thread for the ten of us that live out this way, but then we would get predominantly cold rain once again lol.

@Buddy1987is looking like he lives in a good spot for this wave

Short term models look solid. Very odd to think we could get snow and a majority of others in the forum will get blanked. Makes no sense. Although neither does this winter…

53 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

HRRR actually looks dang close to staying all snow through lunch tomorrow. 12z is a snow/sleet mix as is.

Sent from my SM-S911U using Tapatalk
 

Agreed man. HRRR looks great up this way as well. 

@BornAgain13sunday looking more and more interesting as we close in here! 

11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Everything seems to suggest an inch or two at minimum, especially SW. I'm eyeing it as a far less intense chase destination if I'd really just like to see an inch or snow before all is said and done.

Yea I’d def be ecstatic for an inch never mind two haha although it’s gonna be like mud city outside after it. 

Anyone want to chime in as to what expectation level should be down this way (let’s say CHO and southwest of there) with it moving in a little bit earlier? 

Nobody biting on the 6z GFS band of snow coming thru this weekend? I saw @CAPEpost something earlier but guess it’s better to have snow tv than nothing. 

44 minutes ago, CAPE said:

My wag at this point is that this will end up favorably, although maybe not all snow, for places inland and further NW in our region. For the lowlands it looks more problematic because of the marginal temps. Given the advertised lack of HP to the north on guidance, even a track along/ off the coast would be iffy for eastern areas. This has been a notable issue in recent winters in marginal cold situations.

I agree here. Too amped for my area down this way but I could see @clskinsfan and @WinterWxLuvrliking this setup, although the northern MD and southern PA crew are more than in it at this stage as well. Hopefully it trends south and east so everyone is happy but the way this year has gone I am not holding out much hope. 

Never did see a darn flake. What a shame.. 

1 hour ago, Buddy1987 said:

34.2 and moderate to heavy sleet right now. 

Short lived haha! Been rain for awhile but can still here sleet pellets hitting the window intermittently. 

34.2 and moderate to heavy sleet right now. 

Temps dropping nicely under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Down to 43 with a dew of 25. 
 

What is the current temp at the locations that are reporting sleet? 

44 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said:

Man what impressive dynamics over Mississippi!   Not saying it will translate into anything in the lower elevations but someone is going to get raked tonight in the mountains.  

Still holding out some hope this neck of the woods. Advisory for 1-5”. Unfortunately think we’ll be on the low end of that, if anything at all. There’s a nice gap between the temp vs dew point as well right now. I will post some pics if we get anything.