Buddy1987
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Everything posted by Buddy1987
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I believe I saw something that said there was either 20 or 23 dropsondes infused into the GFS data
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If this were the final solution I’d bet 10$ it would be tainted for sure even up here. I will take what I can get. These last two storms royally screwed me. I need at least a “decent” one
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Lmfaooo
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No biggie GFS only paints a 20.6” whopper right over the house here
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Oh cmon now it’s been the ops for ensembles now for several runs. This is far from being ironed out
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Damn man no big deal only 20.6” here good freakin god
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1033 HP in a great spot for funneling purposes at the minimum
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Maybe for you hahahahahaha j/k would like to see it suppressed some for wiggle room purposes but man if I’m referencing mby it is a beat down up this way
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Icon skipped from 96 to 117. 117 LP is over Wilmington area. 120 up in the VA Capes area. This run is amped ala the ops runs of gfs and euro
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If you look at the 500 map you can clearly see that the vort was more reminiscent of the icons 6z/12z runs. Energy is strong and closed over southwestern Missouri and more in line with guidance.
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For what it’s worth icon looks like it’s going to be juiced. More backed to the southwest at 96. Snow breaking out over Virginia. High pressure also 2mb’s stronger
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Been stuck for awhile at 57 on TT
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Ensembles for the win
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I mean yes and no. Should have a relatively decent idea imo by like 12z thursday runs as to how strong and where the trajectory of the vort takes it as it gets into range.
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To ILM's point, 18z MUCH better for us winter lovers.
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Anyone have any idea how accurate RGEM is toward the end of its runs? Looks to be a little east of the GFS position comparing. Someone with a red tag or with much more knowledge than me can maybe explain known tendencies of GFS, i.e. driving LP's into cold domes or scouring out low level cold air.
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I really feel like it re-adjusts as we get closer. That is a cold HP up top. No wishcasting involved here but simply experience with these types of systems, namely the GFS.
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If anything at 102 HP is in a pristine spot and 1mb stronger than last run
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Cant say I enjoy seeing that. Feeling another westward shift
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Looks like there's a little more separation that's possible at 84 with the eastern Canada energy. Plains energy just a tick slower.
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What a weird ass evolution based on how it got there at 108 wow LOL
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Someone can correct me if im wrong but 18z Icon looks west with vort energy Edit: Ah ok.. much more strung out with the energy in the Plains. Not closed at 500 not even close.
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Im not going to even try to dissect the 18z nam lol. A lot going on and well.. its the nam
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Trend of the day guys has been for all model suites to close off at 500 around NE/SD area. That will be the goalpost for me to see as we get closer to kickoff if it happens sooner or later to determine who gets what. Once we know that a lot of questions can be answered about other important factors. Curious to see what Euro does here.
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CMC vs GFS at 126
