Buddy1987

Jan 25th, 2000 closest thing I could find to this potential one. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/January_2000_North_American_blizzard

Wow looking at that the GEFS strongly disagrees with the OP

Yea I was thinking the same to myself. A low traveling inland through Fayetville and up west of Richmond into Chesterfield area would be very difficult for a lot to remain all snow as the dominant type. Still think the GFS is too amped but it doubled down its position from 0z and also has others joining its radical thinking

@burgertimebeen following the Icon on this. It’s the model that digs the least just fyi. 0z Canadian made a huge jump toward the GFS. Curious to see what the 6z did but I don’t have access to that. I can’t remember the last time a Manitoba mauler did this. Been a long time

Difference that’s noticeable is the gfs is wanting to go neutral to almost negative tilt with the system. As it traverses over panhandle region. Canadian is super close with its own mini bowling ball. What an interesting twist tonight. Looking forward to waking up tomorrow morning and sipping on some coffee for the 6z runs.

Boy the 0z Canadian is REALLY trying as well to make this super interesting looking at 5h around the 114hr mark. Not nearly aggressive as the gfs but nonetheless another scenario to look at to where CLT/Raleigh and SC are pummeled

I will defer on this but I did state earlier that the GFS has a known bias to dig significantly more than other models with northern stream systems. It would be amazing to have that run verify for a lot of us but in all reality my gut has been telling me a 3-6” type event for someone in the sub forum would be most likely at this juncture. Now trying to predict the timing is nearly impossible until maybe 12z Wednesday or even into 0z Thursday. These vorts right now are like trying to catch a school of fish while your waist deep with no net.

TRASH with reasonings listed above. It’s verification scores are putrid.

Ukie has been trash as of late. Didn’t even have the I95 snowstorm precip intensity until like 48 hrs before storm.

Perks of being on the border of Mid Atlantic/Southeast crew line.. and I can also say being a proud member of American Weather and Eastern US weather since the early 2000’s qualifies me

Man.. speechless. 10mb drop in a 12 hr panel.

I couldn’t give enough laughing faces that’s hilarious. What a freakin bomb. NC nuked off the planet

I’m gonna be that guy to say it too. A 983 lp undergoing bombogenesis at this latitude the radar depiction would be 10x better than that. Silly run. Hopefully it’s not on crack.

Good lord! 983 bomb over Wilmington. I did NOT expect this tonight. Soundings look impressive for a whole bunch of us

Man where is @Lookouthe would approve of this with heavy snow in NE GA

Jesus gfs trying to go full Miller A LOL

114 Low pressure over northern MS. Much more juice this run. 540 line into northern SC. 1039 parked up in Ontario/Quebec

And digging deep!

Crazy to me the trajectory it takes based on where it starts. If I remember correctly the gfs has a tendency with northern stream systems to dig too far a lot of times. Curious to see how this one plays out.

Anyone have maps or thoughts from 18z euro for Sat storm?

BOOM! Glad to see you man!

Love it man! A fair handshake for most in the forum involved here.

Man could you imagine if it did this to us?! Hahahaha the hobby may be over for me

Yea as soon as I had posted it the next frames came out and I ended up editing my post. LP way too far north on that depiction for anybody to benefit.

Edit: then the similarities completely disappear at 108. LP over WV at that time.